Primera División · Apertura - 24
The Strongest vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
The Strongest host Gualberto Villarroel SJ on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: The Strongest 56%, draw 25%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: The Strongest €289K, Gualberto Villarroel SJ €176K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. The Strongest goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: The Strongest 1547 · Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1370
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

The Strongest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1622

Gualberto Villarroel SJ · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1271
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
The Strongest
3rd in Primera División · 45 pts from 22
- 18 OctWAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1538
- 11 OctLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1542
- 15 SepWABB Bolivia Primera Division1567
- 12 SepWReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1551
- 6 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1520
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
16th in Primera División · 17 pts from 22
- 17 OctLReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1358
- 12 OctWGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1286
- 18 SepLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1294
- 12 SepLNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1322
- 5 SepLAurora Bolivia Primera Division1354
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Strongest | 45 /22 | 54.4 | 1% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ | 17 /22 | 25.0 | 0% | 0% | 74% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
The Strongest: balanced profile (how Antônio Carlos Zago plays) · Gualberto Villarroel SJ: balanced profile (how Julio César Baldivieso Rico plays)