Czech Liga · Regular Season - 10
Teplice 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
TepliceTeam 1508
Sigma OlomoucTeam 1745We gave Sigma Olomouc 49% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 3'A. Ghali 1782 −9* assist V. Sejk 1823 −9*
Sigma Olomouc:A. Ghali 1782 −9* assist V. Sejk 1823 −9* - 40'L. Lurvink 1771 −8*
Sigma Olomouc:L. Lurvink 1771 −8* - T. Zlatohlavek 1451 −5*44'
Teplice:T. Zlatohlavek 1451 −5* - 46'M. Hadas 1742 −8* for D. Tkac 1522 −8*
Sigma Olomouc:M. Hadas 1742 −8* for D. Tkac 1522 −8* - M. Kozak 1468 −3* for T. Zlatohlavek 1451 −5*56'
Teplice:M. Kozak 1468 −3* for T. Zlatohlavek 1451 −5* - J. Svanda 1562 −6* for M. Bilek 1610 −7*56'
Teplice:J. Svanda 1562 −6* for M. Bilek 1610 −7* - D. Marecek 1588 −8* for M. Cermak 1529 −5*69'
Teplice:D. Marecek 1588 −8* for M. Cermak 1529 −5* - I. Hopi 1407 −4* for J. Auta 1367 +5*69'
Teplice:I. Hopi 1407 −4* for J. Auta 1367 +5* - I. Hopi 1407 −4* assist M. Kozak 1468 −3*70'
Teplice:I. Hopi 1407 −4* assist M. Kozak 1468 −3* - 78'T. Huk 1626 −11* for A. Ghali 1782 −9*
Sigma Olomouc:T. Huk 1626 −11* for A. Ghali 1782 −9* - 85'J. Kliment 1417 −12* for V. Sejk 1823 −9*
Sigma Olomouc:J. Kliment 1417 −12* for V. Sejk 1823 −9* - R. Jukl 1445 −8* for L. Marecek 1498 −5*88'
Teplice:R. Jukl 1445 −8* for L. Marecek 1498 −5*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 24% · 27% · 49%(Teplice · draw · Sigma Olomouc)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Teplice €373K, Sigma Olomouc €1.0M.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Teplice
6th in Czech Liga · 16 pts from 9
- 20 SepWHradec Králové Czech Liga1536
- 13 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1548
- 6 SepWZlin Czech Liga1543
- 30 AugWFK Jablonec Czech Liga1525
- 23 AugLZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1533
Sigma Olomouc
5th in Czech Liga · 16 pts from 9
- 20 SepLSparta Praha Czech Liga1767
- 13 SepWPlzen Czech Liga1747
- 5 SepWBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1712
- 29 AugLBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1691
- 23 AugWPardubice Czech Liga1665
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice | 16 /9 | 40.3 | 0% | 5% | 4% | 9th |
| Sigma Olomouc | 16 /9 | 49.3 | 1% | 44% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Teplice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1615

Sigma Olomouc · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1747
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: creative · possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Teplice: direct (how Zdenko Frťala plays) · Sigma Olomouc: balanced profile (how Pavel Hapal plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.