Czech Liga · Regular Season - 14
Teplice vs Pardubice
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC · AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice
Teplice host Pardubice on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Teplice 35%, draw 29%, Pardubice 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Teplice €354K, Pardubice €576K.
- Home advantage makes Teplice the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Teplice goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Teplice 1549 · Pardubice 1623
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Teplice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1617
Pardubice · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1839
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Teplice
7th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 11
- 17 OctLMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1564
- 11 OctDSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1561
- 20 SepWHradec Králové Czech Liga1536
- 13 SepLSlavia Praha Czech Liga1548
- 6 SepWZlin Czech Liga1543
Pardubice
12th in Czech Liga · 11 pts from 11
- 17 OctWZlin Czech Liga1613
- 11 OctLSparta Praha Czech Liga1625
- 19 SepWBohemians 1905 Czech Liga1564
- 13 SepWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1545
- 5 SepDSlovácko Czech Liga1548
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teplice | 17 /11 | 38.8 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 11th |
| Pardubice | 11 /11 | 35.4 | 0% | 1% | 16% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Teplice: direct (how Zdenko Frťala plays) · Pardubice: balanced profile (how Jan Trousil plays)