Segunda División · Regular Season - 15
Tenerife vs Mallorca
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Tenerife host Mallorca on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Segunda División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Tenerife 23%, draw 27%, Mallorca 50%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Tenerife €424K, Mallorca €2.3M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Segunda División matchday 15: 300 points.
- Mallorca are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Tenerife goals first.
- 0–114%
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 0–010%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- Other scores37%
Team Elo: Tenerife 1600 · Mallorca 1900
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tenerife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1689
Mallorca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1889
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tenerife
14th in Segunda División · 15 pts from 12
- 2 NovDFC Andorra Spain Segunda Division1586
- 25 OctDSabadell Spain Segunda Division1556
- 19 OctDCelta de Vigo II Spain Segunda Division1652
- 12 OctDGirona Spain Segunda Division1614
- 5 OctLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1601
Mallorca
6th in Segunda División · 22 pts from 12
- 2 NovWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1909
- 24 OctDLeganes Spain Segunda Division1890
- 17 OctDEibar Spain Segunda Division1905
- 11 OctWLas Palmas Spain Segunda Division1877
- 4 OctDGirona Spain Segunda Division1856
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 15 /12 | 45.1 | 0% | 0% | 31% | 19th |
| Mallorca | 22 /12 | 71.1 | 10% | 52% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tenerife: low-volume (how Álvaro plays) · Mallorca: direct (how Luis García plays)