Segunda División · Regular Season - 9
Tenerife 1–1 Girona
Mon 12 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Heliodoro Rodríguez López, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
TenerifeTeam 1610
GironaTeam 1916Match story
Tenerife · draw · GironaBefore kick-off: 22% · 28% · 50%
Last reading, 90+6': 1% · 99% · 1%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Enric Gallego 26'
We gave Girona 50% to win: it ended in a draw.
- 4'Yaser Asprilla 1969 −9*
Girona:Yaser Asprilla 1969 −9* - David Rodríguez Ramos 1730 +321'
Tenerife:David Rodríguez Ramos 1730 +3 - 23'Izan González 1814 0
Girona:Izan González 1814 0 - Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa 1511 +324'
Tenerife:Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa 1511 +3 - Enric Gallego 1466 +7 assist Nacho Gil 1719 +526'
Tenerife:Enric Gallego 1466 +7 assist Nacho Gil 1719 +5 - 45'Vladyslav Krapyvtsov 1457 −8* for Paulo Gazzaniga 2024 −4
Girona:Vladyslav Krapyvtsov 1457 −8* for Paulo Gazzaniga 2024 −4 - Jesus Alvarez 1760 −7* for Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa 1511 +352'
Tenerife:Jesus Alvarez 1760 −7* for Fabricio Assis de Souza Barbosa 1511 +3 - 53'Vladyslav Vanat 2092 −3
Girona:Vladyslav Vanat 2092 −3 - 55'Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz 1812 −8*
Girona:Holmes Júnior Zamorano Muñoz 1812 −8* - 59'Bryan Gil 2054 −2 for Abel Ruíz 2013 −1
Girona:Bryan Gil 2054 −2 for Abel Ruíz 2013 −1 - 59'Donny van de Beek 1960 −2 for Yaser Asprilla 1969 −9*
Girona:Donny van de Beek 1960 −2 for Yaser Asprilla 1969 −9* - Gerard Valentín 1710 −4 for Dani Fernández 1480 +667'
Tenerife:Gerard Valentín 1710 −4 for Dani Fernández 1480 +6 - 71'Unai Hernández 1679 0 for Carles Pérez 1957 −2
Girona:Unai Hernández 1679 0 for Carles Pérez 1957 −2 - Noel López 1292 −6* for Nacho Gil 1719 +576'
Tenerife:Noel López 1292 −6* for Nacho Gil 1719 +5 - A. Krdžalić 1501 −6* for Mauro Pitton 1604 −7*76'
Tenerife:A. Krdžalić 1501 −6* for Mauro Pitton 1604 −7* - Grant Leon Ranos 1643 +1 for Christian Pierre Louis Gomis 1652 +476'
Tenerife:Grant Leon Ranos 1643 +1 for Christian Pierre Louis Gomis 1652 +4 - 78'Oleksandr Pyshchur 1419 0 for Izan González 1814 0
Girona:Oleksandr Pyshchur 1419 0 for Izan González 1814 0 - Enric Gallego 1466 +788'
Tenerife:Enric Gallego 1466 +7 - 89'Donny van de Beek 1960 −2
Girona:Donny van de Beek 1960 −2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 22% · 28% · 50%(Tenerife · draw · Girona)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%), and that was the result.
- Average value of the starting XI: Tenerife €435K, Girona €3.9M.
- Segunda División: Fran Beltrán was the highest-rated midfielder (2047).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Segunda División): Tenerife ranked #24 of 24, Girona #4.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tenerife
13th in Segunda División · 11 pts from 8
- 5 OctLCordoba Spain Segunda Division1618
- 26 SepDCadiz Spain Segunda Division1590
- 19 SepLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1620
- 13 SepWLeganes Spain Segunda Division1527
- 5 SepDReal Sociedad II Spain Segunda Division1589
Girona
7th in Segunda División · 14 pts from 8
- 4 OctDMallorca Spain Segunda Division1914
- 25 SepWAlbacete Spain Segunda Division1899
- 19 SepWCadiz Spain Segunda Division1917
- 12 SepLCastellón Spain Segunda Division1951
- 5 SepWSporting Gijon Spain Segunda Division1919
Season outlook
From the Segunda División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 11 /8 | 49.0 | 0% | 0% | 21% | 17th |
| Girona | 14 /8 | 75.0 | 23% | 72% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 22nd on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Tenerife · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1714

Girona · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1981
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tenerife: low-volume (how Álvaro Cervera Díaz plays) · Girona: possession-based (how Quique Alvarez plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.