Eredivisie · Regular Season - 11
Telstar vs Utrecht
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Telstar host Utrecht on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Telstar 26%, draw 28%, Utrecht 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Telstar €803K, Utrecht €1.8M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eredivisie): Telstar rank #17 of 18, Utrecht #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Telstar goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Telstar 1677 · Utrecht 1884
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Telstar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1742
Utrecht · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1911
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Telstar
16th in Eredivisie · 6 pts from 9
- 17 OctLFeyenoord Eredivisie1661
- 11 OctDADO Den Haag Eredivisie1646
- 20 SepLAZ Alkmaar Eredivisie1731
- 13 SepDHeerenveen Eredivisie1748
- 9 SepLTwente Eredivisie1753
Utrecht
11th in Eredivisie · 11 pts from 9
- 18 OctWTwente Eredivisie1875
- 11 OctWWillem II Eredivisie1870
- 20 SepLFeyenoord Eredivisie1877
- 13 SepWExcelsior Eredivisie1859
- 8 SepDGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1885
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 6 /9 | 30.8 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 18th |
| Utrecht | 11 /9 | 47.4 | 0% | 2% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Telstar: direct (how Henk Brugge plays) · Utrecht: balanced profile (how Anthony Correia plays)