Eredivisie · Regular Season - 13
Telstar vs PEC Zwolle
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Telstar host PEC Zwolle on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Eredivisie); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Telstar 40%, draw 29%, PEC Zwolle 32%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Telstar €794K, PEC Zwolle €721K.
- Home advantage makes Telstar the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eredivisie): Telstar rank #17 of 18, PEC Zwolle #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Telstar goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–18%
- 2–28%
- 1–27%
- 1–06%
- 2–06%
- Other scores52%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl2–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Telstar 1683 · PEC Zwolle 1699
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Telstar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1658
PEC Zwolle · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 (Good) · Elo 1742
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Telstar
16th in Eredivisie · 10 pts from 12
- 7 NovDFortuna Sittard Eredivisie1712
- 1 NovWUtrecht Eredivisie1654
- 27 OctLAlmere City FC Netherlands KNVB Beker1676
- 23 OctLGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1638
- 17 OctLFeyenoord Eredivisie1655
PEC Zwolle
13th in Eredivisie · 12 pts from 12
- 6 NovDWillem II Eredivisie1678
- 1 NovWADO Den Haag Eredivisie1683
- 28 OctLFC OSS Netherlands KNVB Beker1711
- 24 OctDUtrecht Eredivisie1695
- 18 OctWGO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie1666
Season outlook
From the Eredivisie simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 10 /12 | 31.5 | 0% | 0% | 52% | 17th |
| PEC Zwolle | 12 /12 | 33.6 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-volume · direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Telstar: direct (how Henk Brugge plays) · PEC Zwolle: balanced profile (how D. van der Ree plays)