First League · Regular Season - 15
Tekstilshchik vs FC Sochi
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadion Tekstilshchik, Ivanovo
Tekstilshchik host FC Sochi on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Tekstilshchik 25%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Tekstilshchik €228K, FC Sochi €594K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of First League matchday 15: 269 points.
- First League: N. Stojić is the highest-rated defender (1833).
- Only 2 of Tekstilshchik's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
- FC Sochi are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Tekstilshchik goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Tekstilshchik 1395 · FC Sochi 1664
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
FC Sochi · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1692
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tekstilshchik
17th in First League · 10 pts from 14
- 18 OctWChelyabinsk Russia First League1350
- 10 OctLShinnik Yaroslavl Russia First League1417
- 17 SepLRotor Volgograd Russia First League1395
- 13 SepDLeningradets Russia First League1394
- 4 SepLTorpedo Moskva Russia First League1373
FC Sochi
2nd in First League · 29 pts from 14
- 16 OctWRotor Volgograd Russia First League1649
- 11 OctWFC UFA Russia First League1635
- 18 SepDSka-khabarovsk Russia First League1633
- 14 SepWVeles Russia First League1664
- 30 AugWChelyabinsk Russia First League1656
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tekstilshchik | 10 /14 | 33.1 | 0% | 0% | 57% | 18th |
| FC Sochi | 29 /14 | 64.3 | 16% | 90% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile