Liga Pro · Relegation Group - 7
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Tecnico Universitario host Deportivo Cuenca on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga Pro); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Tecnico Universitario 38%, draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Tecnico Universitario €319K, Deportivo Cuenca €331K.
- Home advantage makes Tecnico Universitario the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in discipline (Liga Pro): Tecnico Universitario rank #16 of 16, Deportivo Cuenca #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Tecnico Universitario goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–011%
- 0–110%
- 0–010%
- 2–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores40%
Team Elo: Tecnico Universitario 1488 · Deportivo Cuenca 1532
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Tecnico Universitario · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1608
Deportivo Cuenca · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1608
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Tecnico Universitario
14th in Liga Pro · 32 pts from 30
- 9 NovLManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1502
- 2 NovDOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1547
- 26 OctWMushuc Runa SC Ecuador Liga Pro1508
- 16 OctLDeportivo Cuenca Ecuador Liga Pro1479
- 10 OctLManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1489
Deportivo Cuenca
12th in Liga Pro · 36 pts from 30
- 8 NovWOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1548
- 31 OctLDelfin SC Ecuador Liga Pro1518
- 24 OctWManta FC Ecuador Liga Pro1505
- 16 OctWTecnico Universitario Ecuador Liga Pro1483
- 11 OctDOrense SC Ecuador Liga Pro1510
Season outlook
From the Liga Pro simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario | 37 /36 | 42.4 | 0% | 0% | 77% | 15th |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 47 /36 | 53.1 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Tecnico Universitario: balanced profile (how Francisco Usucar plays) · Deportivo Cuenca: balanced profile (how A. Yllana plays)