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Championship · Regular Season - 11

Swansea 0–1 West Ham

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

Swansea crestSwanseaTeam 2042
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
West Ham crestWest HamTeam 2174

Match story

Swansea · draw · West Ham

Before kick-off: 32% · 28% · 40%

Live chances: Swansea 0%, draw 3%, West Ham 97% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 28%, West Ham 40%2' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 28%, West Ham 40%3' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 28%, West Ham 40%4' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 28%, West Ham 40%5' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 28%, West Ham 40%6' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 40%7' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 40%8' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 39%9' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 39%10' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 39%11' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 39%12' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 39%13' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 29%, West Ham 39%14' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 30%, West Ham 39%15' · 0–0 · Swansea 32%, draw 30%, West Ham 39%16' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 30%, West Ham 39%17' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 30%, West Ham 39%18' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 30%, West Ham 38%19' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 30%, West Ham 38%20' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 30%, West Ham 38%21' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 31%, West Ham 38%22' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 31%, West Ham 38%23' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 31%, West Ham 38%24' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 31%, West Ham 38%25' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 31%, West Ham 38%26' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 31%, West Ham 38%27' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 32%, West Ham 38%28' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 32%, West Ham 37%29' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 32%, West Ham 37%30' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 32%, West Ham 37%31' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 32%, West Ham 37%32' · 0–0 · Swansea 31%, draw 33%, West Ham 37%33' · 0–0 · Swansea 30%, draw 33%, West Ham 37%34' · 0–0 · Swansea 30%, draw 33%, West Ham 37%35' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 24%, West Ham 62%36' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 24%, West Ham 62%37' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 24%, West Ham 62%38' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 24%, West Ham 63%39' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 24%, West Ham 63%40' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 24%, West Ham 63%41' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 24%, West Ham 63%42' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 24%, West Ham 63%43' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 24%, West Ham 63%44' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 24%, West Ham 64%45' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 24%, West Ham 64%45+1' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 24%, West Ham 64%45+2' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 24%, West Ham 64%45+3' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 24%, West Ham 64%45+4' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, West Ham 65%45+5' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, West Ham 65%HT · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, West Ham 65%46' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, West Ham 65%48' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, West Ham 65%49' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, West Ham 65%50' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, West Ham 66%51' · 0–1 · Swansea 10%, draw 24%, West Ham 66%52' · 0–1 · Swansea 10%, draw 24%, West Ham 66%53' · 0–1 · Swansea 10%, draw 24%, West Ham 66%54' · 0–1 · Swansea 9%, draw 24%, West Ham 67%55' · 0–1 · Swansea 9%, draw 24%, West Ham 67%56' · 0–1 · Swansea 9%, draw 24%, West Ham 67%57' · 0–1 · Swansea 9%, draw 24%, West Ham 68%58' · 0–1 · Swansea 8%, draw 23%, West Ham 68%59' · 0–1 · Swansea 8%, draw 23%, West Ham 68%60' · 0–1 · Swansea 8%, draw 23%, West Ham 69%61' · 0–1 · Swansea 8%, draw 23%, West Ham 69%62' · 0–1 · Swansea 7%, draw 23%, West Ham 70%63' · 0–1 · Swansea 7%, draw 23%, West Ham 70%64' · 0–1 · Swansea 7%, draw 23%, West Ham 70%65' · 0–1 · Swansea 7%, draw 23%, West Ham 71%66' · 0–1 · Swansea 6%, draw 22%, West Ham 71%67' · 0–1 · Swansea 6%, draw 22%, West Ham 72%68' · 0–1 · Swansea 6%, draw 22%, West Ham 72%69' · 0–1 · Swansea 6%, draw 22%, West Ham 73%71' · 0–1 · Swansea 5%, draw 21%, West Ham 74%72' · 0–1 · Swansea 5%, draw 21%, West Ham 74%73' · 0–1 · Swansea 5%, draw 21%, West Ham 75%74' · 0–1 · Swansea 4%, draw 20%, West Ham 75%75' · 0–1 · Swansea 4%, draw 20%, West Ham 76%76' · 0–1 · Swansea 4%, draw 20%, West Ham 77%77' · 0–1 · Swansea 3%, draw 19%, West Ham 77%78' · 0–1 · Swansea 3%, draw 19%, West Ham 78%79' · 0–1 · Swansea 3%, draw 18%, West Ham 79%80' · 0–1 · Swansea 3%, draw 18%, West Ham 80%81' · 0–1 · Swansea 2%, draw 17%, West Ham 80%82' · 0–1 · Swansea 2%, draw 17%, West Ham 81%83' · 0–1 · Swansea 2%, draw 16%, West Ham 82%84' · 0–1 · Swansea 2%, draw 15%, West Ham 83%85' · 0–1 · Swansea 2%, draw 15%, West Ham 84%86' · 0–1 · Swansea 1%, draw 14%, West Ham 85%87' · 0–1 · Swansea 1%, draw 13%, West Ham 86%88' · 0–1 · Swansea 1%, draw 12%, West Ham 87%89' · 0–1 · Swansea 1%, draw 11%, West Ham 88%90' · 0–1 · Swansea 1%, draw 10%, West Ham 89%90+1' · 0–1 · Swansea 0%, draw 9%, West Ham 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Swansea 0%, draw 7%, West Ham 92%90+3' · 0–1 · Swansea 0%, draw 6%, West Ham 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Swansea 0%, draw 4%, West Ham 96%90+5' · 0–1 · Swansea 0%, draw 3%, West Ham 97%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave West Ham 40% to win: they did.

  1. 34'West Ham:Divine Mukasa 1886 +114 assist Mohamadou Kante 1733 +41
  2. 41'West Ham:Divine Mukasa 1886 +114
  3. 56'Swansea:Stephen Eustáquio 2129 −14* for Jay Fulton 1845 −4
  4. 57'Swansea:Eom Ji-Sung 2026 −2 for Joseph Amankwaah Opoku 1888 0
  5. 61'West Ham:Taty Castellanos 2299 +4 for Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus 2096 +19
  6. 69'West Ham:Edvin Austbö 2019 +7 for Mohamadou Kante 1733 +41
  7. 76'Swansea:Elijah Just 1871 0 for Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 1984 −2
  8. 76'Swansea:melker widell 1973 0 for Goncalo Franco 2009 −3
  9. 76'Swansea:Zan Vipotnik 2057 −1 for Marko Stamenić 2095 −8
  10. 81'West Ham:Taty Castellanos 2299 +4
  11. 84'West Ham:Tomáš Souček 2215 −2 for Manor Solomon 2221 +19
  12. 85'West Ham:Joel Piroe 2264 +1 for Divine Mukasa 1886 +114

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GL. Vigouroux2089−10
DRonald2007−11
DB. Cabango2118−11
DS. Welsh2046−7
DJ. Tymon2102−10
MGonçalo Franco2009−3
MJ. Fulton1845−4
MM. Stamenić2095−8
FM. Yeo1984−2
FA. Idah2104−10
FJoseph Okopu18880
CVítor Matos2073−15
GM. Hermansen2281+17
DJ. Veltman2251+12
DK. Mavropanos2401+11
DM. Kilman2284+16
DMorato2310+16
MM. Kanté1733+41
MA. Engels2313+16
MJ. Bowen2343+12
MD. Mukasa1886+114
MM. Solomon2221+19
FPablo2096+19
CNuno Espírito Santo2341+27
Before kick-off: 32% · 28% · 40%(Swansea · draw · West Ham)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Swansea €3.6M, West Ham €10.7M.
  • Swansea were without 1 expected starter: F. Lissah (1928).
  • Championship: M. Hermansen was the highest-rated goalkeeper (2264).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Swansea

1st in Championship · 23 pts from 10

  • 13 OctWMillwall 1967
  • 10 OctWNorwich 1968
  • 19 SepWLincoln 1975
  • 12 SepWBurnley 1961
  • 8 SepLSouthampton 1916

West Ham

3rd in Championship · 19 pts from 10

  • 14 OctWLincoln 2170
  • 9 OctDQPR 2211
  • 19 SepDMillwall 2209
  • 15 SepLFulham 1979
  • 11 SepWWrexham 2202

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Swansea23 /1075.99%48%0%3rd
West Ham19 /1084.745%89%0%1st
Swansea
West Ham

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Welsh
S. Welsh

Swansea · +3.0 (Good) · Elo 2052

K. Mavropanos
K. Mavropanos

West Ham · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2390

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Swansea: possession-based (how Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos plays) · West Ham: balanced profile (how Nuno Herlander Simões Espírito Santo plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.