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Championship · Regular Season - 9

Swansea 2–1 Norwich

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea

Swansea crestSwanseaTeam 1977
2–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Norwich crestNorwichTeam 2040

Match story

Swansea · draw · Norwich

Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 35%

Live chances: Swansea 100%, draw 0%, Norwich 0% at 90+7'1' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 28%, Norwich 35%2' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 28%, Norwich 35%3' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 28%, Norwich 35%4' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 28%, Norwich 35%5' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 28%, Norwich 35%6' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 29%, Norwich 35%7' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 29%, Norwich 34%8' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 29%, Norwich 34%9' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 29%, Norwich 34%10' · 0–0 · Swansea 37%, draw 29%, Norwich 34%11' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 29%, Norwich 34%12' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 30%, Norwich 34%13' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 30%, Norwich 34%14' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 30%, Norwich 34%15' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 30%, Norwich 34%16' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 30%, Norwich 34%17' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 30%, Norwich 34%18' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 31%, Norwich 34%19' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 31%, Norwich 34%20' · 0–0 · Swansea 36%, draw 31%, Norwich 34%21' · 0–0 · Swansea 35%, draw 31%, Norwich 33%22' · 0–0 · Swansea 35%, draw 31%, Norwich 33%23' · 0–0 · Swansea 35%, draw 32%, Norwich 33%24' · 0–0 · Swansea 35%, draw 32%, Norwich 33%25' · 0–0 · Swansea 35%, draw 32%, Norwich 33%26' · 0–0 · Swansea 35%, draw 32%, Norwich 33%27' · 0–0 · Swansea 35%, draw 32%, Norwich 33%28' · 0–1 · Swansea 16%, draw 24%, Norwich 59%29' · 0–1 · Swansea 16%, draw 24%, Norwich 60%30' · 0–1 · Swansea 16%, draw 24%, Norwich 60%32' · 0–1 · Swansea 16%, draw 24%, Norwich 60%34' · 0–1 · Swansea 15%, draw 24%, Norwich 60%35' · 0–1 · Swansea 15%, draw 24%, Norwich 61%36' · 0–1 · Swansea 15%, draw 24%, Norwich 61%37' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 25%, Norwich 61%38' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 25%, Norwich 61%39' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 25%, Norwich 61%40' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 25%, Norwich 62%41' · 0–1 · Swansea 14%, draw 25%, Norwich 62%42' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 25%, Norwich 62%43' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 25%, Norwich 62%44' · 0–1 · Swansea 13%, draw 25%, Norwich 63%45+1' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 25%, Norwich 63%HT · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 25%, Norwich 64%46' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 25%, Norwich 64%47' · 0–1 · Swansea 12%, draw 25%, Norwich 64%48' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, Norwich 64%49' · 0–1 · Swansea 11%, draw 24%, Norwich 64%50' · 1–1 · Swansea 30%, draw 41%, Norwich 29%51' · 1–1 · Swansea 30%, draw 41%, Norwich 29%52' · 1–1 · Swansea 30%, draw 42%, Norwich 28%53' · 1–1 · Swansea 29%, draw 42%, Norwich 28%54' · 1–1 · Swansea 29%, draw 43%, Norwich 28%55' · 1–1 · Swansea 29%, draw 44%, Norwich 28%56' · 1–1 · Swansea 28%, draw 44%, Norwich 27%57' · 1–1 · Swansea 28%, draw 45%, Norwich 27%58' · 1–1 · Swansea 28%, draw 46%, Norwich 27%59' · 1–1 · Swansea 27%, draw 46%, Norwich 26%60' · 2–1 · Swansea 74%, draw 21%, Norwich 6%61' · 2–1 · Swansea 74%, draw 21%, Norwich 6%62' · 2–1 · Swansea 74%, draw 20%, Norwich 5%63' · 2–1 · Swansea 75%, draw 20%, Norwich 5%64' · 2–1 · Swansea 75%, draw 20%, Norwich 5%65' · 2–1 · Swansea 75%, draw 20%, Norwich 5%66' · 2–1 · Swansea 76%, draw 20%, Norwich 5%67' · 2–1 · Swansea 76%, draw 20%, Norwich 4%68' · 2–1 · Swansea 77%, draw 19%, Norwich 4%70' · 2–1 · Swansea 77%, draw 19%, Norwich 4%71' · 2–1 · Swansea 78%, draw 19%, Norwich 4%72' · 2–1 · Swansea 78%, draw 18%, Norwich 3%73' · 2–1 · Swansea 79%, draw 18%, Norwich 3%74' · 2–1 · Swansea 79%, draw 18%, Norwich 3%75' · 2–1 · Swansea 80%, draw 17%, Norwich 3%76' · 2–1 · Swansea 81%, draw 17%, Norwich 3%77' · 2–1 · Swansea 81%, draw 16%, Norwich 2%78' · 2–1 · Swansea 82%, draw 16%, Norwich 2%79' · 2–1 · Swansea 82%, draw 16%, Norwich 2%80' · 2–1 · Swansea 83%, draw 15%, Norwich 2%81' · 2–1 · Swansea 84%, draw 15%, Norwich 2%82' · 2–1 · Swansea 84%, draw 14%, Norwich 2%83' · 2–1 · Swansea 85%, draw 13%, Norwich 1%84' · 2–1 · Swansea 86%, draw 13%, Norwich 1%85' · 2–1 · Swansea 87%, draw 12%, Norwich 1%86' · 2–1 · Swansea 88%, draw 11%, Norwich 1%87' · 2–1 · Swansea 88%, draw 11%, Norwich 1%88' · 2–1 · Swansea 89%, draw 10%, Norwich 1%89' · 2–1 · Swansea 90%, draw 9%, Norwich 1%90' · 2–1 · Swansea 91%, draw 8%, Norwich 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Swansea 93%, draw 7%, Norwich 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Swansea 94%, draw 6%, Norwich 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Swansea 95%, draw 5%, Norwich 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Swansea 96%, draw 4%, Norwich 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Swansea 98%, draw 2%, Norwich 0%90+7' · 2–1 · Swansea 100%, draw 0%, Norwich 0%

Last reading, 90+7': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Swansea 37% to win: they did.

  1. 22'Swansea:Jay Fulton 1839 +8*
  2. 28'Norwich:Jacob Wright 1850 −8* assist Oscar Schwartau 2054 −12*
  3. 49'Swansea:Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 1972 +44* assist Josh Tymon 2088 +3*
  4. 58'Norwich:Pelle Mattsson 2100 −15*
  5. 59'Swansea:Adam Idah 2114 +19 assist melker widell 1963 +32*
  6. 63'Norwich:Samuel Field 1981 −9* for Paris Maghoma 1979 −8*
  7. 63'Swansea:Zan Vipotnik 2050 +7 for Adam Idah 2114 +19
  8. 70'Norwich:Anthony Musaba 2137 −10* for Andre Brooks 2030 −9*
  9. 70'Norwich:J. Makama 1959 −8* for Mathias Kvistgaarden 2031 −2
  10. 70'Swansea:Marko Stamenić 2077 −5* for Jay Fulton 1839 +8*
  11. 70'Swansea:Elijah Just 1857 −3* for melker widell 1963 +32*
  12. 84'Swansea:Eom Ji-Sung 2028 −7* for Joseph Amankwaah Opoku 1832 +17*
  13. 84'Swansea:Jenson Seelt 1918 −6* for Stephen Welsh 2048 +36
  14. 85'Norwich:Anis Ben Slimane 2053 −8* for Jacob Wright 1850 −8*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GL. Vigouroux2091+22*
DF. Lissah1879+16*
DB. Cabango2107+10
DS. Welsh2048+36
DJ. Tymon2088+3*
MM. Widell1963+32*
MJ. Fulton1839+8*
MGonçalo Franco2007+8*
FJoseph Okopu1832+17*
FA. Idah2114+19
FM. Yeo1972+44*
CVítor Matos2070+15*
GV. Kovačević2095−28*
DJ. Stacey2012−11*
DRuairi McConville2184−12
DJ. Córdoba2106−15*
DD. Yongwa1990−8*
MJacob Wright1850−8*
MP. Mattsson2100−15*
MA. Brooks2030−9*
MP. Maghoma1979−8*
MO. Schwartau2054−12*
FM. Kvistgaarden2031−2
CP. Clement2073−18*
Before kick-off: 37% · 28% · 35%(Swansea · draw · Norwich)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Swansea €3.1M, Norwich €5.2M.
  • Swansea were without 1 expected starter: S. Eustáquio (2143).
  • Norwich were without 3 expected starters: B. Chrisene (2089), K. McLean (2023) and M. Touré (1976).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Swansea

1st in Championship · 17 pts from 8

  • 19 SepWLincoln 1975
  • 12 SepWBurnley 1961
  • 8 SepLSouthampton 1916
  • 5 SepDWrexham 1961
  • 29 AugWDerby 1909

Norwich

17th in Championship · 9 pts from 8

  • 20 SepLBolton 2087
  • 17 SepLManchester City 1967
  • 12 SepLMiddlesbrough 2103
  • 9 SepWBirmingham 2067
  • 5 SepWSheffield Utd 2078

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Swansea17 /869.83%28%<1%4th
Norwich9 /869.94%29%<1%4th
Swansea
Norwich

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Welsh
S. Welsh

Swansea · +2.5 (Good) · Elo 2012

Jacob Wright
Jacob Wright

Norwich · +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1857

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Philippe Clement

Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Swansea: possession-based (how Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos plays) · Norwich: possession-based (how Philippe Clement plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.