Championship · Regular Season - 13
Swansea vs Blackburn
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Swansea host Blackburn on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Swansea 50%, draw 27%, Blackburn 24%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Swansea €3.1M, Blackburn €2.1M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Swansea goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: Swansea 1997 · Blackburn 1902
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Swansea · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.5 (Good) · Elo 2046
Blackburn · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1944
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Swansea
1st in Championship · 23 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWest Ham England Championship2027
- 13 OctWMillwall England Championship1967
- 10 OctWNorwich England Championship1968
- 19 SepWLincoln England Championship1975
- 12 SepWBurnley England Championship1961
Blackburn
10th in Championship · 15 pts from 11
- 17 OctLWest Brom England Championship1936
- 13 OctWBristol City England Championship1906
- 10 OctWCardiff England Championship1894
- 19 SepDPortsmouth England Championship1872
- 12 SepWMillwall England Championship1829
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 23 /11 | 73.5 | 4% | 37% | 0% | 4th |
| Blackburn | 15 /11 | 56.6 | 0% | 1% | 12% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Swansea: possession-based (how Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos plays) · Blackburn: balanced profile (how Tony Mowbray plays)