3. Liga · Regular Season - 13
SV Wehen vs Havelse
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC · BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden
SV Wehen host Havelse on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SV Wehen 64%, draw 21%, Havelse 14%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SV Wehen €458K, Havelse €198K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 3. Liga matchday 13: 249 points.
- Draw chance 21%, below the 3. Liga average of 27% this round.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SV Wehen goals first.
- 2–011%
- 1–110%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–08%
- 3–17%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: SV Wehen 1632 · Havelse 1383
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SV Wehen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1704
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SV Wehen
13th in 3. Liga · 12 pts from 10
- 17 OctDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1644
- 14 OctWAlemannia Aachen Germany 3 Liga1611
- 11 OctWFC Ingolstadt 04 Germany 3 Liga1577
- 20 SepLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1631
- 16 SepWFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1599
Havelse
20th in 3. Liga · 6 pts from 10
- 18 OctDSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1397
- 13 OctDWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1387
- 10 OctLSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1346
- 25 SepLFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1393
- 15 SepLMSV Duisburg Germany 3 Liga1382
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Wehen | 12 /10 | 55.7 | 2% | 15% | <1% | 8th |
| Havelse | 6 /10 | 32.3 | 0% | 0% | 84% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SV Wehen: balanced profile (how Jochen Seitz plays) · Havelse: direct (how Samir Ferchichi plays)