Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
SV Elversberg vs SC Freiburg
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
SV Elversberg host SC Freiburg on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SV Elversberg 21%, draw 26%, SC Freiburg 54%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SV Elversberg €3.0M, SC Freiburg €13.5M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SV Elversberg goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–17%
- 2–27%
- 1–36%
- Other scores51%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: SV Elversberg 1910 · SC Freiburg 2187
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SV Elversberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1978
SC Freiburg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2267
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SV Elversberg
7th in Bundesliga · 13 pts from 9
- 7 NovLBorussia Dortmund Bundesliga1969
- 30 OctWFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga1924
- 27 OctLSV Darmstadt 98 Germany DFB Pokal1867
- 24 OctLRB Leipzig Bundesliga1934
- 17 OctWFC Augsburg Bundesliga1904
SC Freiburg
3rd in Bundesliga · 19 pts from 9
- 8 NovWUnion Berlin Bundesliga2247
- 5 NovWTrabzonspor UEFA Conference League2150
- 31 OctWFC Augsburg Bundesliga2187
- 28 OctWVfL Wolfsburg Germany DFB Pokal2119
- 25 OctLBayern München Bundesliga2205
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg | 13 /9 | 38.0 | 0% | <1% | 18% | 13th |
| SC Freiburg | 19 /9 | 58.8 | <1% | 52% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SV Elversberg: balanced profile (how Vincent Wagner plays) · SC Freiburg: balanced profile (how Julian Schuster plays)