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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

SV Elversberg 4–3 FC Augsburg

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg crestSV ElversbergTeam 1881
4–3
Full time
HT 3–1
FC Augsburg crestFC AugsburgTeam 2030

Match story

SV Elversberg · draw · FC Augsburg

Before kick-off: 29% · 27% · 44%

Live chances: SV Elversberg 100%, draw 0%, FC Augsburg 0% at 90+11'1' · 0–0 · SV Elversberg 29%, draw 27%, FC Augsburg 44%2' · 0–0 · SV Elversberg 29%, draw 27%, FC Augsburg 44%3' · 0–0 · SV Elversberg 29%, draw 28%, FC Augsburg 44%4' · 0–0 · SV Elversberg 29%, draw 28%, FC Augsburg 44%5' · 1–0 · SV Elversberg 53%, draw 25%, FC Augsburg 22%6' · 1–0 · SV Elversberg 53%, draw 25%, FC Augsburg 22%7' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 80%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 7%8' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 80%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 7%9' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 80%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 7%10' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 80%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 7%11' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 81%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 7%12' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 81%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 7%13' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 81%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 6%14' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 81%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 6%15' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 81%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%16' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 81%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%17' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 82%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%18' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 82%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%19' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 82%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%20' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 82%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%21' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 82%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%22' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 82%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 6%23' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 83%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 5%24' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 83%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 5%25' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 83%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 5%26' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 83%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 5%27' · 2–0 · SV Elversberg 83%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 5%28' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%29' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%30' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%31' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%32' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%33' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%34' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%35' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%36' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%37' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%38' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%39' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%40' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%41' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%42' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%43' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%44' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%45' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%45+1' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%45+2' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%45+3' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 1%45+4' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 1%45+5' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 1%45+6' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 1%45+7' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 1%45+8' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 1%45+9' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 1%45+10' · 3–0 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 1%HT · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 88%, draw 9%, FC Augsburg 3%46' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 88%, draw 9%, FC Augsburg 3%48' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 88%, draw 9%, FC Augsburg 3%49' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 89%, draw 9%, FC Augsburg 3%50' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 89%, draw 9%, FC Augsburg 2%51' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 89%, draw 8%, FC Augsburg 2%52' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 90%, draw 8%, FC Augsburg 2%53' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 90%, draw 8%, FC Augsburg 2%54' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 90%, draw 8%, FC Augsburg 2%55' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 90%, draw 8%, FC Augsburg 2%56' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 91%, draw 7%, FC Augsburg 2%57' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 91%, draw 7%, FC Augsburg 2%58' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 91%, draw 7%, FC Augsburg 2%59' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 92%, draw 7%, FC Augsburg 2%60' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 92%, draw 7%, FC Augsburg 1%61' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 92%, draw 6%, FC Augsburg 1%63' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 93%, draw 6%, FC Augsburg 1%64' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 93%, draw 6%, FC Augsburg 1%65' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 93%, draw 6%, FC Augsburg 1%66' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 94%, draw 5%, FC Augsburg 1%68' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 94%, draw 5%, FC Augsburg 1%69' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 94%, draw 5%, FC Augsburg 1%70' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 5%, FC Augsburg 1%71' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%72' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%73' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 1%74' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 0%75' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 0%76' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 96%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 0%77' · 3–1 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 0%78' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 77%, draw 20%, FC Augsburg 4%79' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 78%, draw 19%, FC Augsburg 3%80' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 79%, draw 18%, FC Augsburg 3%80' · 4–2 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 0%81' · 4–2 · SV Elversberg 98%, draw 2%, FC Augsburg 0%82' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 80%, draw 17%, FC Augsburg 2%83' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 81%, draw 17%, FC Augsburg 2%84' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 82%, draw 16%, FC Augsburg 2%85' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 83%, draw 15%, FC Augsburg 2%86' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 84%, draw 14%, FC Augsburg 1%87' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 85%, draw 13%, FC Augsburg 1%88' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 86%, draw 12%, FC Augsburg 1%89' · 3–2 · SV Elversberg 88%, draw 11%, FC Augsburg 1%90+1' · 4–2 · SV Elversberg 100%, draw 0%, FC Augsburg 0%90+2' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 92%, draw 8%, FC Augsburg 0%90+3' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 94%, draw 6%, FC Augsburg 0%90+4' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 95%, draw 4%, FC Augsburg 0%90+5' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 97%, draw 3%, FC Augsburg 0%90+6' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 99%, draw 1%, FC Augsburg 0%90+7' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 100%, draw 0%, FC Augsburg 0%90+8' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 100%, draw 0%, FC Augsburg 0%90+9' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 100%, draw 0%, FC Augsburg 0%90+10' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 100%, draw 0%, FC Augsburg 0%90+11' · 4–3 · SV Elversberg 100%, draw 0%, FC Augsburg 0%

Last reading, 90+11': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave FC Augsburg 44% to win: SV Elversberg won.

  1. 4'SV Elversberg:Lukas Petkov 2035 +38 (penalty missed)
  2. 4'SV Elversberg:Lukas Petkov 2035 +38
  3. 7'SV Elversberg:Lasse Günther 1926 +22 assist Maurice Krattenmacher 1729 +35
  4. 28'SV Elversberg:Maximilian Rohr 1987 +48 assist Felix Keidel 1950 +20
  5. 30'FC Augsburg:Han-Noah Massengo 2111 −7
  6. 30'FC Augsburg:Rodrigo Ribeiro 1865 0
  7. 40'SV Elversberg:Luca Sirch 1852 +15 for Jan Gyamerah 1948 −2*
  8. 40'SV Elversberg:Frederik Schmahl 1816 +17 for Noah Darvich 1762 +16
  9. 45'FC Augsburg:Anton Kade 2087 −2 for Marius Wolf 2000 −11*
  10. 45'FC Augsburg:Michael Gregoritsch 1970 −4 for Rodrigo Ribeiro 1865 0
  11. 45'FC Augsburg:Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 1882 −7 for Juma Bah 2046 −1
  12. 45+9'FC Augsburg:Fabian Rieder 2182 −34 (pen.)
  13. 52'FC Augsburg:Chrislain Matsima 2130 −8
  14. 54'SV Elversberg:Felix Keidel 1950 +20
  15. 74'FC Augsburg:Mert Kömür 1821 0 for Arijon Ibrahimovic 1923 0
  16. 74'FC Augsburg:Seol Young-woo 2098 −2 for Robin Fellhauer 2084 −5
  17. 75'SV Elversberg:Lukas Pinckert 1955 +19
  18. 76'FC Augsburg:Michael Gregoritsch 1970 −4 (pen.)
  19. 77'SV Elversberg:Noel Futkeu 1811 +4 for David Mokwa 1978 +15
  20. 78'SV Elversberg:Raif Adam 1589 −1* for Maurice Krattenmacher 1729 +35
  21. 84'SV Elversberg:Nicolas Kristof 2003 +16
  22. 89'SV Elversberg:Frederik Schmahl 1816 +17 assist Lukas Petkov 2035 +38
  23. 90'FC Augsburg:Mert Kömür 1821 0 assist Hennes Behrens 1980 0
  24. 90+3'SV Elversberg:Amara Condé 1846 −9* for Felix Keidel 1950 +20
  25. 90+6'SV Elversberg:Frederik Schmahl 1816 +17
  26. 90+8'SV Elversberg:Noel Futkeu 1811 +4 (penalty missed)

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-2-1
GN. Kristof2003+16
DJ. Gyamerah1948−2*
DL. Pinckert1955+19
DM. Rohr1987+48
DL. Günther1926+22
MF. Keidel1950+20
MŁ. Poręba2011+14
ML. Petkov2035+38
MNoah Darvich1762+16
MM. Krattenmacher1729+35
FD. Mokwa1978+15
CV. Wagner1987+33
GF. Dahmen2142−21
DAbdulay Bah2046−1
DC. Matsima2130−8
DC. Brackelmann20180
MM. Wolf2000−11*
MH. Massengo2111−7
MF. Rieder2182−34
MHennes Behrens19800
MR. Fellhauer2084−5
MA. Ibrahimović19230
FRodrigo Ribeiro18650
CM. Baum19030
Before kick-off: 29% · 27% · 44%(SV Elversberg · draw · FC Augsburg)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 4–3 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: SV Elversberg €2.5M, FC Augsburg €7.9M.
  • SV Elversberg were without 1 expected starter: William Cole Campbell (1544).
  • FC Augsburg were without 1 expected starter: Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks (2062).
  • Style contrast in discipline (Bundesliga): SV Elversberg ranked #2 of 18, FC Augsburg #15.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

SV Elversberg

10th in Bundesliga · 7 pts from 5

  • 10 OctLUnion Berlin 1922
  • 20 SepDFC Schalke 04 1907
  • 13 SepLBayern München 1931
  • 5 SepWBorussia Mönchengladbach 1914
  • 29 AugWBayer Leverkusen 1872

FC Augsburg

6th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 5

  • 10 OctDBayern München 2039
  • 19 SepLWerder Bremen 2041
  • 12 SepDBayer Leverkusen 2044
  • 6 SepWEintracht Frankfurt 2022
  • 30 AugWFC Schalke 04 2010

Season outlook

From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
SV Elversberg7 /534.70%<1%41%16th
FC Augsburg8 /544.40%2%4%8th
SV Elversberg
FC Augsburg

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

N. Kristof
N. Kristof

SV Elversberg · +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1987

F. Rieder
F. Rieder

FC Augsburg · +1.8 (Average) · Elo 2216

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vincent Wagner

Coach DNA: dribble-heavy

Manuel Baum

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

SV Elversberg: balanced profile (how Vincent Wagner plays) · FC Augsburg: balanced profile (how Manuel Baum plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.