2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor, Darmstadt
SV Darmstadt 98Team 1739
Energie CottbusTeam 1695Match story
SV Darmstadt 98 · draw · Energie CottbusBefore kick-off: 48% · 26% · 26%
Last reading, 90+5': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Noah Weisshaupt 36'
- Aleksandar Vukotić 77'
- Yannik Luhrs 88'
We gave SV Darmstadt 98 48% to win: they did.
- 4'Justin Butler 1617 −8* assist King Samuel Manu 1809 −38*
Energie Cottbus:Justin Butler 1617 −8* assist King Samuel Manu 1809 −38* - Noah Weisshaupt 1805 +39* assist Lee Ho-Jae 1726 +7*36'
SV Darmstadt 98:Noah Weisshaupt 1805 +39* assist Lee Ho-Jae 1726 +7* - 45'Lucas Copado 1805 −12* for Christian Kinsombi 1522 −8*
Energie Cottbus:Lucas Copado 1805 −12* for Christian Kinsombi 1522 −8* - 45+1'Christian Kinsombi 1522 −8*
Energie Cottbus:Christian Kinsombi 1522 −8* - 55'fousseny doumbia 1842 −12* for Axel Borgmann 1693 −12*
Energie Cottbus:fousseny doumbia 1842 −12* for Axel Borgmann 1693 −12* - Milan Smit 1803 +8*62'
SV Darmstadt 98:Milan Smit 1803 +8* - 63'Justin Butler 1617 −8*
Energie Cottbus:Justin Butler 1617 −8* - Hiroki Akiyama 1774 −3* for Nicolas Verkooijen 1623 +12*64'
SV Darmstadt 98:Hiroki Akiyama 1774 −3* for Nicolas Verkooijen 1623 +12* - Lance Duijvestijn 1778 −4* for Lee Ho-Jae 1726 +7*65'
SV Darmstadt 98:Lance Duijvestijn 1778 −4* for Lee Ho-Jae 1726 +7* - 69'Dominik Pelivan 1746 −11* for Leonardo Bittencourt 1790 −19*
Energie Cottbus:Dominik Pelivan 1746 −11* for Leonardo Bittencourt 1790 −19* - 69'Dmytro Bogdanov 1401 −8* for Moritz Hannemann 1690 −9*
Energie Cottbus:Dmytro Bogdanov 1401 −8* for Moritz Hannemann 1690 −9* - Fynn-Luca Lakenmacher 1546 −2* for Marco Richter 1826 +3*74'
SV Darmstadt 98:Fynn-Luca Lakenmacher 1546 −2* for Marco Richter 1826 +3* - Yannik Luhrs 1664 +4* for William Mikelbrencis 1887 +1*74'
SV Darmstadt 98:Yannik Luhrs 1664 +4* for William Mikelbrencis 1887 +1* - Aleksandar Vukotić 1797 +38* assist Lance Duijvestijn 1778 −4*77'
SV Darmstadt 98:Aleksandar Vukotić 1797 +38* assist Lance Duijvestijn 1778 −4* - Noah Weisshaupt 1805 +39*80'
SV Darmstadt 98:Noah Weisshaupt 1805 +39* - 80'Tolcay Cigerci 1789 −20*
Energie Cottbus:Tolcay Cigerci 1789 −20* - 81'Jannis Boziaris 1690 −8* for Lukas Michelbrink 1808 −9
Energie Cottbus:Jannis Boziaris 1690 −8* for Lukas Michelbrink 1808 −9 - Lance Duijvestijn 1778 −4*85'
SV Darmstadt 98:Lance Duijvestijn 1778 −4* - Yannik Luhrs 1664 +4* assist Raoul Petretta 1757 +10*88'
SV Darmstadt 98:Yannik Luhrs 1664 +4* assist Raoul Petretta 1757 +10* - Yosuke Furukawa 1479 −7* for Noah Weisshaupt 1805 +39*90+2'
SV Darmstadt 98:Yosuke Furukawa 1479 −7* for Noah Weisshaupt 1805 +39*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 48% · 26% · 26%(SV Darmstadt 98 · draw · Energie Cottbus)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–1 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: SV Darmstadt 98 €1.3M, Energie Cottbus €652K.
- Home advantage made SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SV Darmstadt 98
18th in 2. Bundesliga · 4 pts from 6
- 18 SepLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1762
- 11 SepWArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1751
- 5 SepL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1778
- 30 AugLHannover 96 Germany 2 Bundesliga1745
- 23 AugWFC Carl Zeiss Jena Germany DFB Pokal1761
Energie Cottbus
7th in 2. Bundesliga · 8 pts from 6
- 20 SepDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1772
- 13 SepWKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1730
- 5 SepDVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1748
- 29 AugLSpVgg Greuther Fürth Germany 2 Bundesliga1719
- 22 AugLFC Augsburg Germany DFB Pokal1705
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 4 /6 | 39.1 | <1% | 2% | 33% | 16th |
| Energie Cottbus | 8 /6 | 44.6 | <1% | 7% | 10% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

SV Darmstadt 98 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1759

Energie Cottbus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1809
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SV Darmstadt 98: balanced profile (how Florian Kohfeldt plays) · Energie Cottbus: balanced profile (how Claus-Dieter Wollitz plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.