2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 12
SV Darmstadt 98 vs 1. FC Heidenheim
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, Darmstadt
SV Darmstadt 98 host 1. FC Heidenheim on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (2. Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: SV Darmstadt 98 41%, draw 29%, 1. FC Heidenheim 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: SV Darmstadt 98 €1.3M, 1. FC Heidenheim €1.6M.
- Home advantage makes SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. SV Darmstadt 98 goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: SV Darmstadt 98 1773 · 1. FC Heidenheim 1806
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
SV Darmstadt 98 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1862
1. FC Heidenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1778
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SV Darmstadt 98
16th in 2. Bundesliga · 9 pts from 10
- 31 OctD1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1792
- 27 OctWSV Elversberg Germany DFB Pokal1749
- 23 OctDFC St. Pauli Germany 2 Bundesliga1766
- 18 OctLKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1801
- 10 OctWEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1772
1. FC Heidenheim
6th in 2. Bundesliga · 15 pts from 10
- 31 OctLKarlsruher SC Germany 2 Bundesliga1797
- 24 OctDEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1802
- 17 OctLVfL Wolfsburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1810
- 9 OctD1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1813
- 20 SepDArminia Bielefeld Germany 2 Bundesliga1834
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 /10 | 39.5 | 0% | 1% | 30% | 16th |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 15 /10 | 47.4 | <1% | 11% | 4% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SV Darmstadt 98: balanced profile (how Florian Kohfeldt plays) · 1. FC Heidenheim: direct (how Frank Schmidt plays)