Super League · Regular Season - 26
Surkhon vs Nasaf
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Stadion Surkhon, Termez
Surkhon host Nasaf on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Super League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Surkhon 29%, draw 29%, Nasaf 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Surkhon €173K, Nasaf €313K.
- O. Boymurodov, S. Abduhamidov, N. Nematkhonov and J. Juraev (Surkhon) have not played for over 90 days.
- Q. Xushvaqtov, Z. Abdirakhmatov, M. Rakhmatov and S. Mukhitdinov (Nasaf) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Surkhon goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Surkhon 1306 · Nasaf 1466
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Nasaf · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.4 (Poor) · Elo 1557
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Surkhon
12th in Super League · 28 pts from 24
- 7 AugLNavbahor Uzbekistan Super League1271
- 28 AprLSogdiana Uzbekistan Super League1338
- 22 AprWMash'al Uzbekistan Super League1321
- 17 AprLQizilqum Uzbekistan Super League1353
- 12 AprLNavbahor Uzbekistan Super League1309
Nasaf
7th in Super League · 38 pts from 24
- 14 OctLAl Wahda FC AFC Cup1526
- 28 AprDPakhtakor Uzbekistan Super League1458
- 23 AprLLokomotiv Uzbekistan Super League1484
- 18 AprLNeftchi Uzbekistan Super League1471
- 13 AprDBuxoro Uzbekistan Super League1476
Season outlook
From the Super League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surkhon | 28 /24 | 35.2 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 12th |
| Nasaf | 38 /24 | 47.8 | 0% | 35% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –