Canadian Premier League · Group Stage
Supra du Quebec 2–2 Vancouver FC
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Supra du QuebecTeam 1468
Vancouver FCTeam 1280Match story
Supra du Quebec · draw · Vancouver FCBefore kick-off: 57% · 24% · 19%
Last reading, 90+7': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score. Shaded: minutes without a reading.
- Loic Adrien Kwemi 7'
- S. Mlah 88'
- Terran Campbell 59'
- Matteo.Campagna 90+6'
We gave Supra du Quebec 57% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Loic Adrien Kwemi 1527 −2 assist Ibrahim Conde 1388 07'
Supra du Quebec:Loic Adrien Kwemi 1527 −2 assist Ibrahim Conde 1388 0 - 25'Matteo.Campagna 1370 +11*
Vancouver FC:Matteo.Campagna 1370 +11* - 47'Luis Toomey 1309 +1*
Vancouver FC:Luis Toomey 1309 +1* - 59'Terran Campbell 1336 +8* assist Emrick Fotsing 1151 +4*
Vancouver FC:Terran Campbell 1336 +8* assist Emrick Fotsing 1151 +4* - Clement Bayiha 1411 −1 for Ibrahim Conde 1388 061'
Supra du Quebec:Clement Bayiha 1411 −1 for Ibrahim Conde 1388 0 - R. Bey 1253 −8* for Omar El Kalkouli 1267 061'
Supra du Quebec:R. Bey 1253 −8* for Omar El Kalkouli 1267 0 - 68'Lys Mousset 1395 −8* for Terran Campbell 1336 +8*
Vancouver FC:Lys Mousset 1395 −8* for Terran Campbell 1336 +8* - 68'Damiano Pecile 1325 −6* for Emrick Fotsing 1151 +4*
Vancouver FC:Damiano Pecile 1325 −6* for Emrick Fotsing 1151 +4* - S. Mlah 1321 0 for Aboubacar Sissoko 1482 −378'
Supra du Quebec:S. Mlah 1321 0 for Aboubacar Sissoko 1482 −3 - 86'Benjamin Lee 1140 −7* for Luis Toomey 1309 +1*
Vancouver FC:Benjamin Lee 1140 −7* for Luis Toomey 1309 +1* - 86'Abdoulaye·Ouattara 964 −7* for Damiano Pecile 1325 −6*
Vancouver FC:Abdoulaye·Ouattara 964 −7* for Damiano Pecile 1325 −6* - S. Mlah 1321 088'
Supra du Quebec:S. Mlah 1321 0 - 89'Aboubacar Traore 1167 −7* for Tom Field 1445 +2*
Vancouver FC:Aboubacar Traore 1167 −7* for Tom Field 1445 +2* - 90+4'Benjamin Lee 1140 −7*
Vancouver FC:Benjamin Lee 1140 −7* - Zachary Brault Guillard 1746 −590+5'
Supra du Quebec:Zachary Brault Guillard 1746 −5 - S. Mlah 1321 090+5'
Supra du Quebec:S. Mlah 1321 0 - 90+6'Matteo.Campagna 1370 +11* assist Callum Irving 1348 +8*
Vancouver FC:Matteo.Campagna 1370 +11* assist Callum Irving 1348 +8*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 57% · 24% · 19%(Supra du Quebec · draw · Vancouver FC)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 2–2 had 5%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Supra du Quebec €230K, Vancouver FC €123K.
- Canadian Premier League: Z. Brault-Guillard was the highest-rated defender (1751).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Supra du Quebec
5th in Canadian Premier League · 31 pts from 25
- 7 OctWYork United Canada Premier League1450
- 4 OctWPacific FC Canada Premier League1452
- 26 SepLCavalry FC Canada Premier League1437
- 20 SepWAtlético Ottawa Canada Premier League1352
- 12 SepLHFX Wanderers FC Canada Premier League1338
Vancouver FC
4th in Canadian Premier League · 33 pts from 25
- 26 SepDForge Canada Premier League1289
- 24 SepDYork United Canada Premier League1308
- 20 SepDPacific FC Canada Premier League1297
- 13 SepLYork United Canada Premier League1325
- 6 SepWSupra du Quebec Canada Premier League1308
Season outlook
From the Canadian Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supra du Quebec | 31 /25 | 35.6 | 0% | 46% | 16% | 4th |
| Vancouver FC | 33 /25 | 35.6 | 0% | 47% | 14% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 8th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Supra du Quebec · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1618

Vancouver FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1324
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.