Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Sunderland vs Chelsea
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Sunderland host Chelsea on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sunderland 26%, draw 28%, Chelsea 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sunderland €18.2M, Chelsea €45.3M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Premier League): Sunderland rank #19 of 20, Chelsea #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sunderland goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Sunderland 2181 · Chelsea 2390
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sunderland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 2229
Chelsea · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 2447
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sunderland
20th in Premier League · 4 pts from 7
- 22 OctDLech Poznan UEFA Europa League2058
- 18 OctLBournemouth Premier League2168
- 15 OctWTorreense UEFA Europa League2042
- 10 OctLBrighton Premier League2247
- 20 SepLManchester City Premier League2224
Chelsea
4th in Premier League · 13 pts from 7
- 17 OctWEverton Premier League2382
- 10 OctWBournemouth Premier League2347
- 18 SepLBrentford Premier League2327
- 12 SepDHull City Premier League2404
- 9 SepWLeeds England League Cup2285
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 4 /7 | 39.0 | 0% | <1% | 38% | 18th |
| Chelsea | 13 /7 | 61.3 | <1% | 43% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sunderland: balanced profile (how R. Le Bris plays) · Chelsea: possession-based · shot-heavy (how Xabi Alonso plays)