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Premier League · Regular Season - 6

Sunderland 0–2 Brighton

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Sunderland crestSunderlandTeam 2199
0–2
Full time
HT 0–0
Brighton crestBrightonTeam 2354

Match story

Sunderland · draw · Brighton

Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 42%

Live chances: Sunderland 0%, draw 0%, Brighton 100% at 90+8'2' · 0–0 · Sunderland 30%, draw 29%, Brighton 42%3' · 0–0 · Sunderland 30%, draw 29%, Brighton 41%4' · 0–0 · Sunderland 30%, draw 29%, Brighton 41%5' · 0–0 · Sunderland 30%, draw 29%, Brighton 41%6' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 29%, Brighton 41%7' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 30%, Brighton 41%8' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 30%, Brighton 41%9' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 30%, Brighton 41%10' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 30%, Brighton 41%11' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 30%, Brighton 41%12' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 30%, Brighton 40%14' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 31%, Brighton 40%15' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 31%, Brighton 40%17' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 31%, Brighton 40%18' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 31%, Brighton 40%19' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 32%, Brighton 39%20' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 32%, Brighton 39%21' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 32%, Brighton 39%22' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 32%, Brighton 39%23' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 32%, Brighton 39%24' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 33%, Brighton 39%25' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 33%, Brighton 39%26' · 0–0 · Sunderland 29%, draw 33%, Brighton 38%27' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 33%, Brighton 38%28' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 33%, Brighton 38%29' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 34%, Brighton 38%30' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 34%, Brighton 38%31' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 34%, Brighton 38%32' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 34%, Brighton 37%33' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 35%, Brighton 37%35' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 35%, Brighton 37%36' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 36%, Brighton 37%37' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 36%, Brighton 36%38' · 0–0 · Sunderland 28%, draw 36%, Brighton 36%39' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 37%, Brighton 36%40' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 37%, Brighton 36%41' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 37%, Brighton 36%42' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 38%, Brighton 35%43' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 38%, Brighton 35%44' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 38%, Brighton 35%45' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 39%, Brighton 35%45+1' · 0–0 · Sunderland 27%, draw 39%, Brighton 34%45+2' · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 39%, Brighton 34%45+4' · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 40%, Brighton 34%45+5' · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 40%, Brighton 34%HT · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 40%, Brighton 34%46' · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 40%, Brighton 34%47' · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 40%, Brighton 34%48' · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 41%, Brighton 33%49' · 0–0 · Sunderland 26%, draw 41%, Brighton 33%51' · 0–0 · Sunderland 25%, draw 42%, Brighton 32%52' · 0–0 · Sunderland 25%, draw 43%, Brighton 32%53' · 0–0 · Sunderland 25%, draw 43%, Brighton 32%54' · 0–0 · Sunderland 25%, draw 44%, Brighton 31%55' · 0–1 · Sunderland 7%, draw 22%, Brighton 71%56' · 0–1 · Sunderland 7%, draw 22%, Brighton 72%57' · 0–1 · Sunderland 6%, draw 22%, Brighton 72%58' · 0–1 · Sunderland 6%, draw 21%, Brighton 72%59' · 0–1 · Sunderland 6%, draw 21%, Brighton 73%60' · 0–1 · Sunderland 6%, draw 21%, Brighton 73%61' · 0–1 · Sunderland 6%, draw 21%, Brighton 73%62' · 0–1 · Sunderland 11%, draw 28%, Brighton 62%63' · 0–1 · Sunderland 10%, draw 27%, Brighton 62%64' · 0–1 · Sunderland 10%, draw 27%, Brighton 63%65' · 0–1 · Sunderland 9%, draw 27%, Brighton 64%66' · 0–1 · Sunderland 9%, draw 27%, Brighton 64%67' · 0–1 · Sunderland 9%, draw 27%, Brighton 65%68' · 0–1 · Sunderland 8%, draw 26%, Brighton 66%69' · 0–1 · Sunderland 8%, draw 26%, Brighton 66%70' · 0–1 · Sunderland 7%, draw 26%, Brighton 67%71' · 0–1 · Sunderland 7%, draw 25%, Brighton 68%72' · 0–1 · Sunderland 7%, draw 25%, Brighton 69%73' · 0–1 · Sunderland 6%, draw 24%, Brighton 69%74' · 0–1 · Sunderland 6%, draw 24%, Brighton 70%75' · 0–1 · Sunderland 5%, draw 24%, Brighton 71%76' · 0–1 · Sunderland 5%, draw 23%, Brighton 72%78' · 0–1 · Sunderland 4%, draw 22%, Brighton 74%79' · 0–1 · Sunderland 4%, draw 21%, Brighton 75%80' · 0–1 · Sunderland 4%, draw 21%, Brighton 76%81' · 0–1 · Sunderland 3%, draw 20%, Brighton 77%82' · 0–1 · Sunderland 3%, draw 19%, Brighton 78%83' · 0–1 · Sunderland 3%, draw 18%, Brighton 79%84' · 0–1 · Sunderland 2%, draw 18%, Brighton 80%85' · 0–1 · Sunderland 2%, draw 17%, Brighton 81%86' · 0–1 · Sunderland 2%, draw 16%, Brighton 82%87' · 0–1 · Sunderland 2%, draw 15%, Brighton 84%88' · 0–1 · Sunderland 1%, draw 14%, Brighton 85%89' · 0–1 · Sunderland 1%, draw 12%, Brighton 86%90' · 0–1 · Sunderland 1%, draw 11%, Brighton 88%90+1' · 0–1 · Sunderland 1%, draw 10%, Brighton 90%90+2' · 0–1 · Sunderland 0%, draw 8%, Brighton 91%90+3' · 0–1 · Sunderland 0%, draw 7%, Brighton 93%90+4' · 0–2 · Sunderland 0%, draw 0%, Brighton 100%90+5' · 0–2 · Sunderland 0%, draw 0%, Brighton 100%90+6' · 0–2 · Sunderland 0%, draw 0%, Brighton 100%90+7' · 0–2 · Sunderland 0%, draw 0%, Brighton 100%90+8' · 0–2 · Sunderland 0%, draw 0%, Brighton 100%

Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Brighton 42% to win: they did.

  1. 34'Sunderland:Malick Fofana 2158 0 for Thomas Meunier 2070 −14*
  2. 36'Brighton:Olivier Boscagli 2421 +2*
  3. 53'Brighton:Maxim De Cuyper 2509 +22 assist Pascal Groß 2418 +26*
  4. 57'Brighton:Pascal Struijk 2359 +3*
  5. 60'Brighton:Lewis Dunk 2267 −7* for Charalampos Kostoulas 2270 +15
  6. 68'Brighton:Costinha 2209 −2* for Olivier Boscagli 2421 +2*
  7. 68'Brighton:Malick Yalcouyé 2025 +1* for Maxim De Cuyper 2509 +22
  8. 73'Sunderland:Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi 1928 −8* for Nilson Angulo 2120 −8*
  9. 73'Sunderland:Dayann Methalie 1914 −8* for Reinildo Isnard Mandava 2238 −17*
  10. 81'Sunderland:Juan Riquelme Angulo 1619 −8* for Enzo Le Fée 2279 −16*
  11. 88'Brighton:Jaouen Hadjam 1973 −5* for Diego Gomez 2443 +6*
  12. 88'Brighton:Georginio Rutter 2318 −7* for Yasin Ayari 2472 +4*
  13. 90+3'Brighton:Jaouen Hadjam 1973 −5* assist Georginio Rutter 2318 −7*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GR. Roefs2266−16*
DT. Hume2351−13
DN. Mukiele2290−38*
DK. Danso2275−9
DReinildo2238−17*
MG. Xhaka2248−21*
MN. Sadiki2303−18*
MT. Meunier2070−14*
ME. Le Fée2279−16*
MN. Angulo2120−8*
FW. Isidor21120
CR. Le Bris2266−23*
GB. Verbruggen2516+29
DF. Kadıoğlu2424+42
DL. Vušković2374+17
DP. Struijk2359+3*
DO. Boscagli2421+2*
MJosé María Andrés Baixauli2234+17*
MP. Groß2418+26*
MD. Gómez2443+6*
MY. Ayari2472+4*
MM. De Cuyper2509+22
FC. Kostoulas2270+15
CF. Hürzeler2456+17*
Before kick-off: 30% · 29% · 42%(Sunderland · draw · Brighton)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–2 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sunderland €17.5M, Brighton €27.1M.
  • Sunderland were without 2 expected starters: D. Ballard (2256) and B. Brobbey (2267).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sunderland

14th in Premier League · 4 pts from 5

  • 20 SepLManchester City 2224
  • 16 SepWAZ Alkmaar 2251
  • 12 SepLArsenal 2255
  • 8 SepWHull City 1984
  • 5 SepDBrentford 2259

Brighton

3rd in Premier League · 10 pts from 5

  • 19 SepWArsenal 2309
  • 16 SepWManchester United 2153
  • 13 SepWCoventry 2237
  • 5 SepDLeeds 2246
  • 30 AugLChelsea 2248

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sunderland4 /544.00%1%18%16th
Brighton10 /558.1<1%35%<1%3rd
Sunderland
Brighton

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka

Sunderland · +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 2269

P. Groß
P. Groß

Brighton · +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2392

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Régis Le Bris

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Fabian Hürzeler

Coach DNA: possession-based

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sunderland: balanced profile (how Régis Le Bris plays) · Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.