Premyer Liqa · Regular Season - 12
Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA
Fri 20 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit
Sumqayıt host Sabah FA on Fri 20 Nov 2026 (Premyer Liqa); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sumqayıt 18%, draw 24%, Sabah FA 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sumqayıt €255K, Sabah FA €761K.
- M. Johansson, Ronaldo Junior Vásquez Herasme, Keffel, C. Badolo, Easah Suliman, Lucas Black, Tiago Almeida, N. Əhmədzadə and E. Mustafaev (Sumqayıt) have not played for over 90 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sumqayıt goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–37%
- 1–36%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Sumqayıt 1429 · Sabah FA 1722
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sabah FA · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Elite) · Elo 1830
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sumqayıt
9th in Premyer Liqa · 10 pts from 10
- 2 MayLKapaz Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1407
- 5 AprLNeftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1410
- 19 MarLSabah FA Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1444
- 13 MarLŞamaxı FK Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1455
- 7 MarDKarvan Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1443
Sabah FA
3rd in Premyer Liqa · 21 pts from 10
- 4 NovLViking UEFA Champions League1733
- 25 OctDQarabag Azerbaijan Premyer Liqa1795
- 20 OctLBorussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League1797
- 13 OctWSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League1768
- 10 SepLManchester United UEFA Champions League1761
Season outlook
From the Premyer Liqa simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumqayıt | 10 /10 | 37.0 | 0% | 1% | 19% | 7th |
| Sabah FA | 21 /10 | 66.4 | 36% | 98% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile