Serie B · Regular Season - 12
Sudtirol vs Cremonese
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Marco Druso, Bolzano
Sudtirol host Cremonese on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Serie B); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sudtirol 26%, draw 28%, Cremonese 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sudtirol €675K, Cremonese €2.0M.
- Style contrast in attacking (Serie B): Sudtirol rank #18 of 20, Cremonese #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sudtirol goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–113%
- 0–010%
- 0–29%
- 1–29%
- 1–09%
- Other scores37%
Team Elo: Sudtirol 1616 · Cremonese 1842
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sudtirol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1609
Cremonese · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1925
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sudtirol
12th in Serie B · 15 pts from 11
- 7 NovDPisa Italy Serie B1601
- 31 OctDCesena Italy Serie B1607
- 27 OctLPadova Italy Serie B1574
- 24 OctDSampdoria Italy Serie B1603
- 18 OctLJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1635
Cremonese
9th in Serie B · 15 pts from 11
- 8 NovWVicenza Virtus Italy Serie B1826
- 31 OctWBenevento Italy Serie B1800
- 27 OctWMantova Italy Serie B1810
- 24 OctLJuve Stabia Italy Serie B1783
- 17 OctLPisa Italy Serie B1785
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 15 /11 | 46.0 | 0% | 1% | 13% | 15th |
| Cremonese | 15 /11 | 59.8 | 1% | 42% | <1% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sudtirol: direct (how Davide Possanzini plays) · Cremonese: balanced profile (how Fabio Pecchia plays)