Serie B · Regular Season - 6
Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Stadio Druso, Bozen
SudtirolTeam 1662AscoliTeam 1572We gave Sudtirol 50% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Salvatore Molina –37'Sudtirol:Salvatore Molina –
- Kenny Meddy Mixtur – for Alvin Okoro –45'Sudtirol:Kenny Meddy Mixtur – for Alvin Okoro –
- Giacomo Stabile –48'Sudtirol:Giacomo Stabile –
- Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes –60'Sudtirol:Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes –
- Rares Burnete – for Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes –66'Sudtirol:Rares Burnete – for Vasco Rafael Fortes Lopes –
- Rares Burnete –67'Sudtirol:Rares Burnete –
- 73'Giacomo De Pieri – for Andrea·Silipo –Ascoli:Giacomo De Pieri – for Andrea·Silipo –
- 73'amine chakir – for Matteo BrunoriAscoli:amine chakir – for Matteo Brunori
- 73'Gennao Acampora – for Tommaso Milanese –Ascoli:Gennao Acampora – for Tommaso Milanese –
- 75'Nicholas Rizzo –Ascoli:Nicholas Rizzo –
- Lorenzo Anghele – for Aljosa Vasic –75'Sudtirol:Lorenzo Anghele – for Aljosa Vasic –
- Davide Veroli – for Giacomo Stabile –80'Sudtirol:Davide Veroli – for Giacomo Stabile –
- Dhirar Brik – for Fabio Rispoli –80'Sudtirol:Dhirar Brik – for Fabio Rispoli –
- 87'Don Bolsius – for Simone D'Uffizi –Ascoli:Don Bolsius – for Simone D'Uffizi –
Before kick-off (provisional): 50% · 27% · 23%(Sudtirol · draw · Ascoli)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sudtirol €760K, Ascoli €429K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sudtirol
2nd in Serie B · 11 pts from 5
- 20 SepWArezzo Italy Serie B1623
- 15 SepLGenoa Italy Coppa Italia1536
- 12 SepDModena Italy Serie B1655
- 5 SepWCatanzaro Italy Serie B1589
- 30 AugDBenevento Italy Serie B1627
Ascoli
4th in Serie B · 10 pts from 5
- 19 SepWAvellino Italy Serie B1398
- 12 SepLPadova Italy Serie B1441
- 5 SepWBenevento Italy Serie B1453
- 29 AugDCarrarese Italy Serie B1428
- 23 AugWHellas Verona Italy Serie B1305
Season outlook
From the Serie B simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 11 /5 | 52.9 | <1% | 12% | 3% | 10th |
| Ascoli | 10 /5 | 46.0 | <1% | 2% | 17% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sudtirol · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1678
Ascoli · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1585
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · low-block
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sudtirol: direct (how Davide Possanzini plays) · Ascoli: direct (how Francesco Tomei plays)