3. Liga · Regular Season - 11
Stuttgart II vs Alemannia Aachen
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC · WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Stuttgart II host Alemannia Aachen on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (3. Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stuttgart II 37%, draw 29%, Alemannia Aachen 34%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stuttgart II €321K, Alemannia Aachen €364K.
- Home advantage makes Stuttgart II the favourite here: it adds 8 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in possession (3. Liga): Stuttgart II rank #3 of 20, Alemannia Aachen #19.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stuttgart II goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 2–18%
- 0–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Stuttgart II 1586 · Alemannia Aachen 1663
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Alemannia Aachen · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Good) · Elo 1626
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stuttgart II
7th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 10
- 16 OctWFortuna Köln Germany 3 Liga1556
- 13 OctWHoffenheim II Germany 3 Liga1556
- 10 OctDSV Meppen Germany 3 Liga1560
- 19 SepDSSV Jahn Regensburg Germany 3 Liga1546
- 16 SepLHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1543
Alemannia Aachen
8th in 3. Liga · 14 pts from 10
- 17 OctWHansa Rostock Germany 3 Liga1630
- 14 OctLSV Wehen Germany 3 Liga1654
- 11 OctLFC Viktoria Köln Germany 3 Liga1631
- 19 SepWFortuna Düsseldorf Germany 3 Liga1635
- 15 SepLWürzburger Kickers Germany 3 Liga1632
Season outlook
From the 3. Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart II | 14 /10 | 53.4 | 1% | 9% | 1% | 11th |
| Alemannia Aachen | 14 /10 | 58.6 | 3% | 27% | <1% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stuttgart II: dribble-heavy (how Nico Willig plays) · Alemannia Aachen: direct (how Mersad Selimbegović plays)