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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

Sturm Graz 6–1 Grazer AK

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Stadion Graz-Liebenau, Graz

Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazTeam 1816
6–1
Full time
HT 3–1
Grazer AK crestGrazer AKTeam 1704

Match story

Sturm Graz · draw · Grazer AK

Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%

Live chances: Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0% at 90+2'1' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 50%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 23%2' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 50%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 23%3' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 50%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 23%4' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 50%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 23%5' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 50%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 23%6' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 50%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 23%7' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 49%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 23%8' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 49%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 23%9' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 49%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 23%10' · 0–0 · Sturm Graz 49%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 23%11' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 31%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 41%12' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 31%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 41%13' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 31%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 42%14' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 31%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 42%15' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 30%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 42%16' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 30%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 42%17' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 30%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 42%18' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 29%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 43%19' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 29%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 43%20' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 29%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 43%21' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 29%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 43%22' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 28%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 44%23' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 28%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 44%24' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 28%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 44%25' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 27%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 44%26' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 27%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 45%27' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 27%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 45%28' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 27%, draw 28%, Grazer AK 45%30' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 26%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 46%31' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 26%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 46%32' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 25%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 46%33' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 25%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 46%34' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 25%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 47%35' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 24%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 47%37' · 0–1 · Sturm Graz 24%, draw 29%, Grazer AK 48%38' · 1–1 · Sturm Graz 44%, draw 34%, Grazer AK 23%40' · 2–1 · Sturm Graz 75%, draw 18%, Grazer AK 7%41' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%42' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%43' · 4–1 · Sturm Graz 99%, draw 1%, Grazer AK 0%44' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45+1' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45+2' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45+3' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45+4' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45+5' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45+6' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%45+7' · 4–1 · Sturm Graz 99%, draw 1%, Grazer AK 0%45+8' · 4–1 · Sturm Graz 99%, draw 1%, Grazer AK 0%45+9' · 4–1 · Sturm Graz 99%, draw 1%, Grazer AK 0%45+10' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%HT · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%46' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 94%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%47' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 95%, draw 5%, Grazer AK 1%48' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 95%, draw 4%, Grazer AK 1%49' · 3–1 · Sturm Graz 95%, draw 4%, Grazer AK 1%50' · 4–1 · Sturm Graz 99%, draw 1%, Grazer AK 0%51' · 4–1 · Sturm Graz 99%, draw 1%, Grazer AK 0%52' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%53' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%54' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%55' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%56' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%57' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%58' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%59' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%60' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%61' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%62' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%63' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%64' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%65' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%66' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%67' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%68' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%69' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%70' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%71' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%72' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%73' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%74' · 5–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%75' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%76' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%77' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%78' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%79' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%80' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%81' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%82' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%83' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%84' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%85' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%86' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%87' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%88' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%89' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%90' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%90+1' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%90+2' · 6–1 · Sturm Graz 100%, draw 0%, Grazer AK 0%

Last reading, 90+2': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sturm Graz 50% to win: they did.

  1. 10'Grazer AK:Christopher Cvetko 1517 −2 assist Yannick Oberleitner 1535 0
  2. 28'Sturm Graz:Ammar Helac 1380 +28* for Daniil Khudyakov 1948 +3
  3. 37'Sturm Graz:Luca Weinhandl 1871 +36 assist Valmir Matoshi 1878 +45
  4. 39'Sturm Graz:Jurgen Heil 1913 +36 assist Luis Balbo 1833 +12
  5. 41'Sturm Graz:Oumar Diakité 1854 +31
  6. 45'Grazer AK:Mark Große 1634 −8* for Christian Lichtenberger 1663 −3
  7. 45'Grazer AK:Tim Trummer 1762 −1 for Anderson Dos Santos Gomes 1598 −1
  8. 48'Grazer AK:Mark Große 1634 −8*
  9. 49'Sturm Graz:Oumar Diakité 1854 +31 assist Simon Seidl 1884 +44
  10. 51'Sturm Graz:Oumar Diakité 1854 +31 assist Simon Seidl 1884 +44
  11. 52'Sturm Graz:Oumar Diakité 1854 +31
  12. 53'Grazer AK:Alexander Hofleitner 1740 0
  13. 59'Sturm Graz:Jacob Peter Hödl 1854 +6 for Joshua Quarshie 1906 +9
  14. 59'Sturm Graz:Albert Vallci 1940 +1 for Luis Balbo 1833 +12
  15. 60'Sturm Graz:Szymon Wlodarczyk 1765 0* for Oumar Diakité 1854 +31
  16. 72'Sturm Graz:Julian Halwachs 1358 +10 for Luca Weinhandl 1871 +36
  17. 75'Sturm Graz:Jon Gorenc Stanković 1951 +28 assist Simon Seidl 1884 +44
  18. 76'Grazer AK:Tobias Koch 1702 −8* for Christopher Cvetko 1517 −2
  19. 76'Grazer AK:Souleyman mandey 1656 −8* for Leon Klassen 1770 −2
  20. 82'Sturm Graz:Julian Halwachs 1358 +10

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-4-2Formations3-1-4-2
GD. Khudyakov1948+3
DA. Malic1899+14
DJ. Quarshie1906+9
DP. Koller1899+14
DL. Balbo1833+12
MJ. Heil1913+36
MJ. Gorenc Stankovič1951+28
MLuca Weinhandl1871+36
MV. Matoshi1878+45
FS. Seidl1884+44
FO. Diakité1854+31
CF. Ingolitsch1945+21
GC. Stanković1898−18
DB. Owusu1782−4
DM. Sollbauer1548−9
DY. Oberleitner15350
MC. Cvetko1517−2
MAnderson1598−1
MP. Michorl1783−8
MC. Lichtenberger1663−3
ML. Klassen1770−2
FJ. Italiano1808−7
FA. Hofleitner17400
CG. Scheiblehner17250
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 23%(Sturm Graz · draw · Grazer AK)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 6–1 had <1%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sturm Graz €1.6M, Grazer AK €476K.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Bundesliga): Sturm Graz ranked #3 of 12, Grazer AK #9.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sturm Graz

5th in Bundesliga · 14 pts from 8

  • 15 OctLBournemouth 1822
  • 10 OctWAustria Vienna 1851
  • 20 SepLRed Bull Salzburg 1835
  • 16 SepDRennes 1832
  • 13 SepWLask Linz 1870

Grazer AK

7th in Bundesliga · 9 pts from 8

  • 10 OctDRed Bull Salzburg 1695
  • 19 SepDAustria Vienna 1703
  • 12 SepWSCR Altach 1630
  • 29 AugDWolfsberger AC 1670
  • 21 AugLRied 1672

Season outlook

From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sturm Graz14 /838.03%83%0%4th
Grazer AK9 /826.90%4%18%6th
Sturm Graz
Grazer AK

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Bundesliga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Gorenc Stankovič
J. Gorenc Stankovič

Sturm Graz · +4.4 (Good) · Elo 1923

A. Hofleitner
A. Hofleitner

Grazer AK · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1740

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Fabio Ingolitsch

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Gerald Scheiblehner

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sturm Graz: balanced profile (how Fabio Ingolitsch plays) · Grazer AK: direct (how Gerald Scheiblehner plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.