Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
Strasbourg vs Auxerre
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Strasbourg host Auxerre on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Strasbourg 51%, draw 27%, Auxerre 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Strasbourg €10.4M, Auxerre €4.0M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Ligue 1): Strasbourg rank #16 of 18, Auxerre #4.
- Only 1 of Strasbourg's expected starters is past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Strasbourg goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.0 pts
Team Elo: Strasbourg 2009 · Auxerre 1895
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Strasbourg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2072
Auxerre · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2038
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Strasbourg
14th in Ligue 1 · 7 pts from 7
- 17 OctLParis Saint Germain Ligue 11975
- 11 OctLNice Ligue 11982
- 19 SepLParis FC Ligue 12086
- 12 SepDMonaco Ligue 12074
- 6 SepWEstac Troyes Ligue 12032
Auxerre
12th in Ligue 1 · 9 pts from 7
- 18 OctWLe Havre Ligue 11913
- 11 OctLRennes Ligue 11916
- 20 SepWStade Brestois 29 Ligue 11890
- 12 SepWNice Ligue 11862
- 4 SepLLyon Ligue 11840
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 7 /7 | 46.9 | 0% | 4% | 1% | 9th |
| Auxerre | 9 /7 | 40.5 | 0% | <1% | 7% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Strasbourg: balanced profile (how Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira plays) · Auxerre: balanced profile (how William Still plays)