League One · Regular Season - 15
Stockport County vs Reading
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Edgeley Park, Stockport
Stockport County host Reading on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stockport County 42%, draw 29%, Reading 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stockport County €659K, Reading €515K.
- Home advantage makes Stockport County the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- Stockport County's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stockport County goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Stockport County 1823 · Reading 1830
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Stockport County · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.8 (Elite) · Elo 1902
Reading · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1887
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stockport County
2nd in League One · 23 pts from 13
- 27 OctLOxford United England League One1846
- 24 OctDNotts County England League One1894
- 20 OctWDoncaster England League One1870
- 17 OctWBromley England League One1812
- 10 OctWBarnsley England League One1824
Reading
6th in League One · 21 pts from 12
- 24 OctWBarnsley England League One1822
- 21 OctWLeyton Orient England League One1802
- 17 OctLWigan England League One1815
- 13 OctLChelsea U21 England EFL Trophy1723
- 10 OctWMilton Keynes Dons England League One1784
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 23 /13 | 70.0 | 5% | 27% | 0% | 5th |
| Reading | 21 /12 | 69.2 | 4% | 23% | <1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stockport County: balanced profile (how Jimmy McNulty plays) · Reading: balanced profile (how L. Richardson plays)