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League One · Regular Season - 10

Stevenage 1–0 Wigan

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Broadhall Way, Stevenage

Stevenage crestStevenageTeam 1734
1–0
Full time
HT 0–0
Wigan crestWiganTeam 1624

Match story

Stevenage · draw · Wigan

Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%

Live chances: Stevenage 99%, draw 1%, Wigan 0% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Stevenage 51%, draw 27%, Wigan 22%3' · 0–0 · Stevenage 51%, draw 27%, Wigan 22%4' · 0–0 · Stevenage 51%, draw 27%, Wigan 22%5' · 0–0 · Stevenage 51%, draw 27%, Wigan 22%6' · 0–0 · Stevenage 51%, draw 27%, Wigan 22%7' · 0–0 · Stevenage 51%, draw 27%, Wigan 22%8' · 0–0 · Stevenage 50%, draw 27%, Wigan 22%9' · 0–0 · Stevenage 50%, draw 28%, Wigan 22%10' · 0–0 · Stevenage 50%, draw 28%, Wigan 22%11' · 0–0 · Stevenage 50%, draw 28%, Wigan 22%12' · 0–0 · Stevenage 50%, draw 28%, Wigan 22%14' · 0–0 · Stevenage 49%, draw 28%, Wigan 22%15' · 0–0 · Stevenage 49%, draw 29%, Wigan 22%17' · 0–0 · Stevenage 49%, draw 29%, Wigan 22%18' · 0–0 · Stevenage 48%, draw 29%, Wigan 22%19' · 0–0 · Stevenage 48%, draw 29%, Wigan 22%20' · 0–0 · Stevenage 48%, draw 30%, Wigan 22%21' · 0–0 · Stevenage 48%, draw 30%, Wigan 22%22' · 0–0 · Stevenage 48%, draw 30%, Wigan 22%23' · 0–0 · Stevenage 47%, draw 30%, Wigan 22%24' · 0–0 · Stevenage 47%, draw 30%, Wigan 22%25' · 0–0 · Stevenage 47%, draw 31%, Wigan 22%26' · 0–0 · Stevenage 47%, draw 31%, Wigan 22%27' · 0–0 · Stevenage 47%, draw 31%, Wigan 22%28' · 0–0 · Stevenage 46%, draw 31%, Wigan 22%29' · 0–0 · Stevenage 46%, draw 32%, Wigan 22%30' · 0–0 · Stevenage 46%, draw 32%, Wigan 22%31' · 0–0 · Stevenage 46%, draw 32%, Wigan 22%32' · 0–0 · Stevenage 45%, draw 32%, Wigan 22%33' · 0–0 · Stevenage 45%, draw 33%, Wigan 22%35' · 0–0 · Stevenage 44%, draw 33%, Wigan 22%36' · 0–0 · Stevenage 44%, draw 34%, Wigan 22%37' · 0–0 · Stevenage 44%, draw 34%, Wigan 22%38' · 0–0 · Stevenage 44%, draw 34%, Wigan 22%39' · 0–0 · Stevenage 43%, draw 35%, Wigan 22%40' · 0–0 · Stevenage 43%, draw 35%, Wigan 22%41' · 0–0 · Stevenage 43%, draw 35%, Wigan 22%42' · 0–0 · Stevenage 42%, draw 36%, Wigan 22%43' · 0–0 · Stevenage 42%, draw 36%, Wigan 22%44' · 0–0 · Stevenage 42%, draw 36%, Wigan 22%45' · 0–0 · Stevenage 42%, draw 37%, Wigan 22%45+1' · 0–0 · Stevenage 41%, draw 37%, Wigan 22%45+2' · 0–0 · Stevenage 41%, draw 37%, Wigan 22%HT · 0–0 · Stevenage 40%, draw 38%, Wigan 22%46' · 0–0 · Stevenage 40%, draw 38%, Wigan 22%47' · 0–0 · Stevenage 40%, draw 39%, Wigan 21%48' · 0–0 · Stevenage 40%, draw 39%, Wigan 21%49' · 0–0 · Stevenage 39%, draw 39%, Wigan 21%50' · 0–0 · Stevenage 39%, draw 40%, Wigan 21%52' · 0–0 · Stevenage 38%, draw 41%, Wigan 21%53' · 0–0 · Stevenage 37%, draw 42%, Wigan 21%54' · 0–0 · Stevenage 37%, draw 42%, Wigan 21%55' · 0–0 · Stevenage 36%, draw 43%, Wigan 20%56' · 0–0 · Stevenage 36%, draw 44%, Wigan 20%57' · 0–0 · Stevenage 35%, draw 44%, Wigan 20%58' · 0–0 · Stevenage 35%, draw 45%, Wigan 20%59' · 0–0 · Stevenage 34%, draw 46%, Wigan 20%60' · 0–0 · Stevenage 34%, draw 47%, Wigan 20%61' · 0–0 · Stevenage 33%, draw 47%, Wigan 19%62' · 1–0 · Stevenage 80%, draw 16%, Wigan 3%63' · 1–0 · Stevenage 81%, draw 16%, Wigan 3%64' · 1–0 · Stevenage 81%, draw 16%, Wigan 3%65' · 1–0 · Stevenage 81%, draw 16%, Wigan 3%66' · 1–0 · Stevenage 81%, draw 16%, Wigan 3%67' · 1–0 · Stevenage 82%, draw 16%, Wigan 3%68' · 1–0 · Stevenage 82%, draw 16%, Wigan 3%69' · 1–0 · Stevenage 82%, draw 15%, Wigan 2%70' · 1–0 · Stevenage 82%, draw 15%, Wigan 2%71' · 1–0 · Stevenage 83%, draw 15%, Wigan 2%72' · 1–0 · Stevenage 83%, draw 15%, Wigan 2%73' · 1–0 · Stevenage 83%, draw 14%, Wigan 2%74' · 1–0 · Stevenage 84%, draw 14%, Wigan 2%75' · 1–0 · Stevenage 84%, draw 14%, Wigan 2%76' · 1–0 · Stevenage 85%, draw 14%, Wigan 2%77' · 1–0 · Stevenage 85%, draw 13%, Wigan 2%79' · 1–0 · Stevenage 86%, draw 13%, Wigan 1%80' · 1–0 · Stevenage 87%, draw 12%, Wigan 1%81' · 1–0 · Stevenage 87%, draw 12%, Wigan 1%82' · 1–0 · Stevenage 88%, draw 11%, Wigan 1%83' · 1–0 · Stevenage 88%, draw 11%, Wigan 1%84' · 1–0 · Stevenage 89%, draw 10%, Wigan 1%85' · 1–0 · Stevenage 89%, draw 10%, Wigan 1%86' · 1–0 · Stevenage 90%, draw 9%, Wigan 1%87' · 1–0 · Stevenage 91%, draw 9%, Wigan 1%88' · 1–0 · Stevenage 91%, draw 8%, Wigan 0%89' · 1–0 · Stevenage 92%, draw 7%, Wigan 0%90' · 1–0 · Stevenage 93%, draw 7%, Wigan 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Stevenage 94%, draw 6%, Wigan 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Stevenage 95%, draw 5%, Wigan 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Stevenage 96%, draw 4%, Wigan 0%90+4' · 1–0 · Stevenage 97%, draw 3%, Wigan 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Stevenage 98%, draw 2%, Wigan 0%90+6' · 1–0 · Stevenage 99%, draw 1%, Wigan 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 99% · 1% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Stevenage 52% to win: they did.

  1. 28'Wigan:Finley Burns 1769 −14*
  2. 53'Wigan:Charlie Gray 1153 −8*
  3. 60'Stevenage:Wanya Marcal 1696 +31 assist Josh Magennis 1526 +40
  4. 64'Wigan:Fraser Murray 1771 −10* for Jeremiah Chilokoa-Mullen 1516 −8*
  5. 64'Wigan:Reggie Walsh 1822 −10* for Bradley Burrowes 1279 −8*
  6. 66'Stevenage:Ben Broggio 1587 +4 for O. Sanderson 1635 +11
  7. 66'Stevenage:Louis Thompson 1689 0 for Matthew Smith 1752 +7
  8. 69'Wigan:Reggie Walsh 1822 −10*
  9. 79'Stevenage:Phoenix Patterson 1736 +1 for Wanya Marcal 1696 +31
  10. 79'Stevenage:Michael Mellon 1683 −6* for Josh Magennis 1526 +40
  11. 85'Wigan:Archie Harris 1802 −8* for Jensen Weir 1791 −15*
  12. 85'Wigan:Sonny Tufail Perkins 1671 −8* for Jon Mellish 1759 −15*
  13. 90+4'Wigan:James Carragher 1737 −12*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-1-2Formations3-4-2-1
GT. Setford1613+8*
DT. Vancooten1836+10*
DL. James-Wildin1839+18
DC. Piergianni1793+18
MWanya Marçal1696+31
MD. Phillips1764+2*
MM. Smith1752+7
MS. Earley1780+26
MD. Kemp1829+6
FO. Sanderson1635+11
FJ. Magennis1526+40
CA. Revell1862+11
GJ. Whitworth1694−14*
DJ. Carragher1737−12*
DF. Burns1769−14*
DJ. Chilokoa-Mullen1516−8*
MC. Barrett1736−12*
MCharlie Gray1153−8*
MM. Power1770−20*
MJ. Mellish1759−15*
MJ. Weir1791−15*
MB. Burrows1279−8*
FS. Hogan1471−14*
CG. Caldwell1762−19*
Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%(Stevenage · draw · Wigan)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Stevenage €614K, Wigan €346K.
  • Home advantage made Stevenage the favourite: it added 7 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in pressing & duels (League One): Stevenage ranked #2 of 24, Wigan #22.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Stevenage

13th in League One · 9 pts from 7

  • 6 OctWLeicester 1631
  • 22 SepWWalsall 1676
  • 19 SepLLeyton Orient 1711
  • 10 SepWLuton 1701
  • 5 SepWBarnsley 1659

Wigan

24th in League One · 4 pts from 7

  • 22 SepWBlackpool 1655
  • 19 SepLWycombe 1706
  • 12 SepDSheffield Wednesday 1697
  • 5 SepLStockport County 1711
  • 2 SepWMilton Keynes Dons 1671

Season outlook

From the League One simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Stevenage9 /755.3<1%2%19%19th
Wigan4 /753.50%1%27%22nd
Stevenage
Wigan

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: League One

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

D. Kemp
D. Kemp

Stevenage · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1823

M. Power
M. Power

Wigan · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1789

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alexander David Revell

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Gary Robert Caldwell

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Stevenage: direct (how Alexander David Revell plays) · Wigan: balanced profile (how Gary Robert Caldwell plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.