League One · Regular Season - 8
Stevenage vs Sheffield Wednesday
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · SPORTA Arena, Stevenage
Stevenage host Sheffield Wednesday on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stevenage 38%, draw 29%, Sheffield Wednesday 33%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stevenage €354K, Sheffield Wednesday €842K.
- Home advantage makes Stevenage the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stevenage goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Stevenage 1753 · Sheffield Wednesday 1805
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Stevenage · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1623
Sheffield Wednesday · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1699
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stevenage
16th in League One · 16 pts from 12
- 10 NovDFulham U21 England EFL Trophy1746
- 7 NovWOxford United England FA Cup1715
- 31 OctDLeicester England League One1733
- 24 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1764
- 20 OctWPlymouth England League One1720
Sheffield Wednesday
9th in League One · 20 pts from 13
- 8 NovDOldham England FA Cup1807
- 1 NovDBlackpool England League One1788
- 27 OctDCambridge United England League One1849
- 24 OctLDoncaster England League One1773
- 20 OctLNotts County England League One1836
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 16 /12 | 58.0 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 16th |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 20 /13 | 65.2 | 1% | 10% | <1% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stevenage: direct (how A. Revell plays) · Sheffield Wednesday: balanced profile (how Matthew Hamshaw plays)