League One · Regular Season - 15
Stevenage vs Mansfield Town
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Lamex Stadium, Stevenage
Stevenage host Mansfield Town on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stevenage 35%, draw 29%, Mansfield Town 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stevenage €362K, Mansfield Town €484K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stevenage goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Stevenage 1740 · Mansfield Town 1837
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Stevenage · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1841
Mansfield Town · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1877
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stevenage
13th in League One · 15 pts from 11
- 24 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1761
- 20 OctWPlymouth England League One1719
- 17 OctLBradford England League One1740
- 10 OctWWigan England League One1724
- 6 OctWLeicester England EFL Trophy1631
Mansfield Town
10th in League One · 18 pts from 11
- 24 OctWBlackpool England League One1817
- 20 OctWAFC Wimbledon England League One1792
- 15 OctDOxford United England League One1800
- 10 OctWBromley England League One1778
- 6 OctLPort Vale England EFL Trophy1684
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 15 /11 | 56.5 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 17th |
| Mansfield Town | 18 /11 | 66.3 | 2% | 13% | 1% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stevenage: direct (how A. Revell plays) · Mansfield Town: balanced profile (how N. Clough plays)