Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Start vs Sandefjord
Sun 25 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Start host Sandefjord on Sun 25 Oct 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Start 32%, draw 29%, Sandefjord 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Start €361K, Sandefjord €494K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Start goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Start 1465 · Sandefjord 1529
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Start · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1612

Sandefjord · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1448
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Start
16th in Eliteserien · 16 pts from 23
- 18 OctLMolde Eliteserien1459
- 11 OctLHam-Kam Eliteserien1491
- 20 SepLSandefjord Eliteserien1518
- 13 SepWBrann Eliteserien1454
- 4 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1470
Sandefjord
13th in Eliteserien · 24 pts from 23
- 18 OctLLillestrom Eliteserien1487
- 10 OctDRosenborg Eliteserien1489
- 20 SepWStart Eliteserien1505
- 14 SepLBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1503
- 4 SepDViking Eliteserien1558
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 16 /23 | 22.9 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
| Sandefjord | 24 /23 | 32.9 | 0% | 0% | 22% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Start: balanced profile (how Azar Karadas plays) · Sandefjord: balanced profile (how Andreas Ulrik Tegström plays)