Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25
Start vs Lillestrom
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Start host Lillestrom on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Start 27%, draw 28%, Lillestrom 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Start €361K, Lillestrom €475K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Start goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Start 1465 · Lillestrom 1591
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Start · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1612
Lillestrom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1632
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Start
16th in Eliteserien · 16 pts from 23
- 18 OctLMolde Eliteserien1459
- 11 OctLHam-Kam Eliteserien1491
- 20 SepLSandefjord Eliteserien1518
- 13 SepWBrann Eliteserien1454
- 4 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1470
Lillestrom
6th in Eliteserien · 36 pts from 23
- 18 OctWSandefjord Eliteserien1582
- 15 OctDSparta Praha UEFA Europa League1583
- 11 OctDMolde Eliteserien1576
- 20 SepLViking Eliteserien1577
- 17 SepLTorreense UEFA Europa League1618
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 16 /23 | 22.9 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 16th |
| Lillestrom | 36 /23 | 45.9 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Start: balanced profile (how Azar Karadas plays) · Lillestrom: balanced profile (how Hans Erik Ødegaard plays)