Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23
Start 2–4 Ham-Kam
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Sør Arena, Kristiansand
StartTeam 1484
Ham-KamTeam 1420- John Olav Norheim 43'
- Erlend Segberg 90+5'
- Luc Mares 36' (pen)
- Loris Mettler 53'
- Mohamed Ofkir 74', 90+2'
We gave Start 44% to win: Ham-Kam won.
- 36'Luc Mares 1597 +36* (pen.)
Ham-Kam:Luc Mares 1597 +36* (pen.) - John Olav Norheim 1437 −11* assist Sander Aske Granheim 1338 −8*43'
Start:John Olav Norheim 1437 −11* assist Sander Aske Granheim 1338 −8* - 53'Loris Mettler 1573 +44* assist Patrick Metcalfe 1665 +21*
Ham-Kam:Loris Mettler 1573 +44* assist Patrick Metcalfe 1665 +21* - Nikolaos Koutsakos 1554 −10* for Hakon Lorentzen 1505 −10*61'
Start:Nikolaos Koutsakos 1554 −10* for Hakon Lorentzen 1505 −10* - Eirik Schulze 1312 −13* for Mikael Ugland 1507 −9*62'
Start:Eirik Schulze 1312 −13* for Mikael Ugland 1507 −9* - 69'David Benjamin 1320 +1* for Danilo Al-Saed 1439 +13*
Ham-Kam:David Benjamin 1320 +1* for Danilo Al-Saed 1439 +13* - 69'Aksel Baran Potur 1026 +36* for Fredrik Sjolstad 1538 +3*
Ham-Kam:Aksel Baran Potur 1026 +36* for Fredrik Sjolstad 1538 +3* - 73'Mohamed Ofkir 1476 +2* for Duarte Moreira 1518 +10*
Ham-Kam:Mohamed Ofkir 1476 +2* for Duarte Moreira 1518 +10* - 74'Mohamed Ofkir 1476 +2* assist Aksel Baran Potur 1026 +36*
Ham-Kam:Mohamed Ofkir 1476 +2* assist Aksel Baran Potur 1026 +36* - nikola jojic 1414 −8* for Erlend Dahl Reitan 1599 −19*75'
Start:nikola jojic 1414 −8* for Erlend Dahl Reitan 1599 −19* - Fredrik Palerud 1181 −12* for Altin Ujkani 1366 −8*75'
Start:Fredrik Palerud 1181 −12* for Altin Ujkani 1366 −8* - 82'Ethan Amundsen-Day 1596 −6* for João Paulo Rodrigues Barros 1020 +60*
Ham-Kam:Ethan Amundsen-Day 1596 −6* for João Paulo Rodrigues Barros 1020 +60* - Marius Nordal 1205 −8* for Steve Mvoue 1491 −8*84'
Start:Marius Nordal 1205 −8* for Steve Mvoue 1491 −8* - 90+2'Mohamed Ofkir 1476 +2* assist Aksel Baran Potur 1026 +36*
Ham-Kam:Mohamed Ofkir 1476 +2* assist Aksel Baran Potur 1026 +36* - Erlend Segberg 1626 −25*90+5'
Start:Erlend Segberg 1626 −25*
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 28% · 29%(Start · draw · Ham-Kam)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–4 had 1%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Start €357K, Ham-Kam €350K.
- Start were without 3 expected starters: F. Manojlović (1816), O. Toure (1550) and J. Husebø (1564).
- Ham-Kam were without 1 expected starter: M. Johnsgård (1329).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Start
16th in Eliteserien · 16 pts from 21
- 20 SepLSandefjord Eliteserien1518
- 13 SepWBrann Eliteserien1454
- 4 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1470
- 30 AugWKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1380
- 8 AugLFredrikstad Eliteserien1423
Ham-Kam
13th in Eliteserien · 23 pts from 21
- 20 SepLTromso Eliteserien1473
- 13 SepLMolde Eliteserien1465
- 5 SepLRosenborg Eliteserien1499
- 30 AugDKristiansund BK Eliteserien1538
- 16 AugLBrann Eliteserien1554
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | 16 /21 | 25.9 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 16th |
| Ham-Kam | 23 /21 | 31.4 | 0% | 0% | 41% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Start · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1651

Ham-Kam · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 1535
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Start: balanced profile (how Azar Karadas plays) · Ham-Kam: direct (how Thomas Harald Myhre plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.