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Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Standard Liege 0–1 Charleroi

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC · Maurice Dufrasne, Liege

Standard Liege crestStandard LiegeTeam 1852
0–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Charleroi crestCharleroiTeam 1825

Match story

Standard Liege · draw · Charleroi

Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 29%

Live chances: Standard Liege 0%, draw 3%, Charleroi 97% at 90+4'1' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 42%, draw 29%, Charleroi 29%2' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 42%, draw 29%, Charleroi 29%3' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 42%, draw 29%, Charleroi 29%4' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 42%, draw 29%, Charleroi 29%5' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 42%, draw 29%, Charleroi 29%6' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 29%, Charleroi 29%7' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 29%, Charleroi 29%8' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 30%, Charleroi 29%9' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 30%, Charleroi 29%10' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 30%, Charleroi 29%11' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 30%, Charleroi 29%12' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 30%, Charleroi 29%13' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 41%, draw 30%, Charleroi 29%14' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 40%, draw 31%, Charleroi 29%15' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 40%, draw 31%, Charleroi 29%17' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 40%, draw 31%, Charleroi 29%18' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 40%, draw 31%, Charleroi 29%19' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 40%, draw 31%, Charleroi 29%20' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 40%, draw 32%, Charleroi 29%21' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 39%, draw 32%, Charleroi 29%22' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 39%, draw 32%, Charleroi 29%23' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 39%, draw 32%, Charleroi 29%24' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 39%, draw 32%, Charleroi 29%25' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 39%, draw 33%, Charleroi 28%26' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 39%, draw 33%, Charleroi 28%27' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 39%, draw 33%, Charleroi 28%28' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 38%, draw 33%, Charleroi 28%29' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 38%, draw 34%, Charleroi 28%30' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 38%, draw 34%, Charleroi 28%31' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 38%, draw 34%, Charleroi 28%32' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 38%, draw 34%, Charleroi 28%33' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 37%, draw 35%, Charleroi 28%34' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 37%, draw 35%, Charleroi 28%35' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 37%, draw 35%, Charleroi 28%36' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 37%, draw 35%, Charleroi 28%37' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 37%, draw 36%, Charleroi 28%38' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 37%, draw 36%, Charleroi 27%39' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 36%, draw 36%, Charleroi 27%40' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 36%, draw 37%, Charleroi 27%41' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 36%, draw 37%, Charleroi 27%42' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 36%, draw 37%, Charleroi 27%43' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 35%, draw 38%, Charleroi 27%44' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 35%, draw 38%, Charleroi 27%45' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 35%, draw 38%, Charleroi 27%HT · 0–0 · Standard Liege 34%, draw 40%, Charleroi 26%46' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 34%, draw 40%, Charleroi 26%47' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 34%, draw 40%, Charleroi 26%48' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 34%, draw 41%, Charleroi 26%49' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 33%, draw 41%, Charleroi 26%50' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 33%, draw 42%, Charleroi 25%51' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 33%, draw 42%, Charleroi 25%52' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 32%, draw 43%, Charleroi 25%53' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 32%, draw 43%, Charleroi 25%54' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 31%, draw 44%, Charleroi 25%55' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 31%, draw 45%, Charleroi 24%56' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 31%, draw 45%, Charleroi 24%57' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 30%, draw 46%, Charleroi 24%58' · 0–0 · Standard Liege 30%, draw 47%, Charleroi 24%59' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 9%, draw 25%, Charleroi 66%60' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 9%, draw 25%, Charleroi 67%61' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 8%, draw 25%, Charleroi 67%63' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 8%, draw 24%, Charleroi 68%65' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 7%, draw 24%, Charleroi 69%66' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 7%, draw 24%, Charleroi 70%67' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 6%, draw 23%, Charleroi 70%68' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 6%, draw 23%, Charleroi 71%69' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 6%, draw 23%, Charleroi 71%71' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 5%, draw 22%, Charleroi 73%72' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 5%, draw 22%, Charleroi 73%73' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 5%, draw 21%, Charleroi 74%74' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 4%, draw 21%, Charleroi 75%76' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 4%, draw 20%, Charleroi 76%77' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 4%, draw 20%, Charleroi 77%78' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 3%, draw 19%, Charleroi 78%79' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 3%, draw 19%, Charleroi 78%80' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 3%, draw 18%, Charleroi 79%82' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 2%, draw 17%, Charleroi 81%83' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 2%, draw 16%, Charleroi 82%84' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 2%, draw 15%, Charleroi 83%85' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 2%, draw 14%, Charleroi 84%86' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 1%, draw 14%, Charleroi 85%87' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 1%, draw 13%, Charleroi 86%88' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 1%, draw 12%, Charleroi 87%89' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 1%, draw 11%, Charleroi 88%90' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 1%, draw 10%, Charleroi 90%90+1' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 0%, draw 8%, Charleroi 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 0%, draw 7%, Charleroi 93%90+3' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 0%, draw 6%, Charleroi 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Standard Liege 0%, draw 3%, Charleroi 97%

Last reading, 90+4': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Standard Liege 42% to win: Charleroi won.

  1. 36'Standard Liege:I. Hautekiet 1915 −18*
  2. 45'Charleroi:A. Boukamir 1728 +29*
  3. 58'Charleroi:C. Keita 1953 +10* assist P. Pflucke 1852 +12*
  4. 65'Standard Liege:S. Drammeh 1616 −8* for B. Nguene 1674 −8*
  5. 65'Standard Liege:A. Zeqiri 1824 −9* for C. Nielsen 1853 −17*
  6. 71'Charleroi:T. Rowe 1096 +19* for P. Pflucke 1852 +12*
  7. 77'Charleroi:I. Cisse 1403 +4* for A. Boukamir 1728 +29*
  8. 77'Charleroi:G. Nawata 1575 −4* for F. Mbemba 1535 +51*
  9. 77'Standard Liege:B. Nsimba 1666 −8* for D. Eckert 1832 −14*
  10. 84'Standard Liege:R. Fosso 1901 −9* for R. Touzghar 1663 −8*
  11. 84'Standard Liege:M. Ilaimaharitra 1804 −12* for A. Trouillet 1776 −12*
  12. 86'Charleroi:M. Sow 1673 −6* for J. Romsaas 1905 +14*
  13. 90+6'Standard Liege:G. Mortensen 1856 −14*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-2-3-1
GMohamed Koné1928+13*
DKevin Van Den Kerkhof1930+10*
DAiham Ousou1937+12*
DCheick Keita1953+10*
DMardochee Nzita1948+10*
MAmine Boukamir1728+29*
MYassine Khalifi1905+15*
MPatrick Pflücke1852+12*
MJakob Napoleon Romsaas1905+14*
MFreddy Mbemba1535+51*
FAurélien Scheidler1894+15*
CMario Kohnen1851
Before kick-off: 42% · 29% · 29%(Standard Liege · draw · Charleroi)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Standard Liege €1.5M, Charleroi €1.3M.
  • Home advantage made Standard Liege the favourite: it added 4 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Standard Liege

7th in Pro League · 11 pts from 7

  • 18 SepLGent 1834
  • 12 SepLKVC Westerlo 1838
  • 5 SepWAntwerp 1834
  • 29 AugWOH Leuven 1794
  • 21 AugWRAAL La Louvière 1794

Charleroi

4th in Pro League · 18 pts from 7

  • 19 SepWCercle Brugge 1820
  • 13 SepWZulte Waregem 1795
  • 5 SepLUnion St. Gilloise 1809
  • 29 AugWKortrijk 1814
  • 22 AugWKV Mechelen 1816

Season outlook

From the Jupiler Pro League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Standard Liege11 /747.10%3%1%7th
Charleroi18 /754.5<1%23%0%5th
Standard Liege
Charleroi

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Jupiler Pro League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Abid
A. Abid

Standard Liege · +6.7 (Elite) · Elo 1885

A. Ousou
A. Ousou

Charleroi · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1925

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Vincent Euvrard

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Mario Kohnen

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Standard Liege: low-volume (how Vincent Euvrard plays) · Charleroi: balanced profile (how Mario Kohnen plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.