Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Fri 27 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
Stade Brestois 29 host Paris FC on Fri 27 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stade Brestois 29 24%, draw 27%, Paris FC 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stade Brestois 29 €3.4M, Paris FC €7.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stade Brestois 29 goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–07%
- 2–16%
- Other scores48%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.8 pts
Team Elo: Stade Brestois 29 1880 · Paris FC 2115
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Stade Brestois 29 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2010
Paris FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 2233
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stade Brestois 29
9th in Ligue 1 · 15 pts from 10
- 8 NovWLyon Ligue 11901
- 2 NovWLorient Ligue 11906
- 23 OctLNice Ligue 11915
- 17 OctDLille Ligue 11909
- 10 OctWAngers Ligue 11880
Paris FC
3rd in Ligue 1 · 20 pts from 10
- 7 NovWAuxerre Ligue 12133
- 1 NovWMonaco Ligue 12120
- 24 OctLLens Ligue 12138
- 18 OctWRennes Ligue 12092
- 10 OctLLorient Ligue 12104
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 15 /10 | 41.0 | 0% | <1% | 3% | 12th |
| Paris FC | 20 /10 | 60.4 | <1% | 63% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stade Brestois 29: balanced profile (how Julien Lachuer plays) · Paris FC: possession-based (how L. Rosenior plays)