Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10
Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest
Stade Brestois 29 host Lyon on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Ligue 1); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Stade Brestois 29 21%, draw 26%, Lyon 53%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Stade Brestois 29 €3.3M, Lyon €11.9M.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Ligue 1): Stade Brestois 29 rank #2 of 18, Lyon #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Stade Brestois 29 goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–210%
- 0–07%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 4.1 pts
Team Elo: Stade Brestois 29 1827 · Lyon 2118
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Stade Brestois 29 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1973
Lyon · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2220
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Stade Brestois 29
11th in Ligue 1 · 9 pts from 8
- 23 OctLNice Ligue 11922
- 17 OctDLille Ligue 11917
- 10 OctWAngers Ligue 11887
- 20 SepLAuxerre Ligue 11846
- 13 SepLParis Saint Germain Ligue 11849
Lyon
1st in Ligue 1 · 14 pts from 7
- 22 OctL1899 Hoffenheim UEFA Europa League2046
- 18 OctWNice Ligue 12075
- 15 OctWCrystal Palace UEFA Europa League2121
- 9 OctLLens Ligue 12146
- 19 SepWRennes Ligue 12110
Season outlook
From the Ligue 1 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | 9 /8 | 34.8 | 0% | 0% | 23% | 14th |
| Lyon | 14 /7 | 59.1 | <1% | 55% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Stade Brestois 29: balanced profile (how Julien Lachuer plays) · Lyon: possession-based (how Paulo Fonseca plays)