Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10
St. Truiden vs OH Leuven
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
St. Truiden host OH Leuven on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Jupiler Pro League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: St. Truiden 50%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: St. Truiden €2.0M, OH Leuven €971K.
- Style contrast in possession (Pro League): St. Truiden rank #4 of 18, OH Leuven #15.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. St. Truiden goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.9 pts
Team Elo: St. Truiden 1819 · OH Leuven 1692
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
St. Truiden · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1954
OH Leuven · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1719
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
St. Truiden
12th in Pro League · 8 pts from 8
- 15 OctWFC Iberia 1999 UEFA Conference League1855
- 11 OctLKV Mechelen Belgium Pro League1888
- 20 SepLKVC Westerlo Belgium Pro League1898
- 12 SepLSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1878
- 5 SepWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1886
OH Leuven
15th in Pro League · 5 pts from 8
- 11 OctDUnion St. Gilloise Belgium Pro League1672
- 19 SepWRAAL La Louvière Belgium Pro League1644
- 12 SepDCercle Brugge Belgium Pro League1647
- 6 SepLSK Beveren Belgium Pro League1698
- 3 SepLGent Belgium Pro League1687
Season outlook
From the Jupiler Pro League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 8 /8 | 42.4 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 10th |
| OH Leuven | 5 /8 | 33.5 | 0% | 0% | 39% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: shot-heavy · creative
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
St. Truiden: possession-based (how Frédéric De Meyer plays) · OH Leuven: direct (how Timmy Simons plays)