Premiership · Regular Season - 11
ST Mirren vs Hibernian
Wed 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC · The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
ST Mirren host Hibernian on Wed 28 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ST Mirren 28%, draw 28%, Hibernian 44%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ST Mirren €304K, Hibernian €828K.
- Style contrast in attacking (Premiership): ST Mirren rank #10 of 12, Hibernian #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ST Mirren goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 0–28%
- 1–07%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: ST Mirren 1538 · Hibernian 1741
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ST Mirren · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Good) · Elo 1674
Hibernian · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 1736
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ST Mirren
8th in Premiership · 10 pts from 9
- 17 OctLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1564
- 10 OctLHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1530
- 19 SepLDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1535
- 9 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership1487
- 5 SepLCeltic Scotland Premiership1536
Hibernian
12th in Premiership · 7 pts from 9
- 17 OctLFalkirk Scotland Premiership1752
- 10 OctLDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1762
- 19 SepDAberdeen Scotland Premiership1772
- 15 SepLKilmarnock Scotland Premiership1736
- 6 SepLST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1778
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Mirren | 10 /9 | 33.2 | 0% | 1% | 69% | 12th |
| Hibernian | 7 /9 | 40.1 | 0% | 14% | 22% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ST Mirren: direct (how Craig McLeish plays) · Hibernian: balanced profile (how Marink Reedijk plays)