Premiership · Regular Season - 10
ST Mirren vs Dundee
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
ST Mirren host Dundee on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Premiership); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: ST Mirren 32%, draw 29%, Dundee 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: ST Mirren €304K, Dundee €543K.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premiership): ST Mirren rank #11 of 12, Dundee #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. ST Mirren goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–29%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores43%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: ST Mirren 1538 · Dundee 1683
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
ST Mirren · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 (Good) · Elo 1674
Dundee · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 1843
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
ST Mirren
8th in Premiership · 10 pts from 9
- 17 OctLAberdeen Scotland Premiership1564
- 10 OctLHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1530
- 19 SepLDundee Utd Scotland Premiership1535
- 9 SepLRangers Scotland Premiership1487
- 5 SepLCeltic Scotland Premiership1536
Dundee
4th in Premiership · 14 pts from 9
- 17 OctDRangers Scotland Premiership1683
- 10 OctWFalkirk Scotland Premiership1669
- 19 SepWMotherwell Scotland Premiership1646
- 6 SepLHeart Of Midlothian Scotland Premiership1676
- 2 SepDST Johnstone Scotland Premiership1693
Season outlook
From the Premiership simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Mirren | 10 /9 | 33.2 | 0% | 1% | 69% | 12th |
| Dundee | 14 /9 | 44.8 | 0% | 37% | 7% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-volume
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
ST Mirren: direct (how Craig McLeish plays) · Dundee: direct (how Steven Pressley plays)