Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 29
St. Louis City 0–0 Vancouver Whitecaps
Thu 15 Oct 2026 · 00:30 UTC · Citypark, Saint Louis
St. Louis CityTeam 2051
Vancouver WhitecapsTeam 1967Match story
St. Louis City · draw · Vancouver WhitecapsBefore kick-off: 53% · 24% · 23%
Last reading, 90+8': 0% · 100% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
We gave St. Louis City 53% to win: it ended in a draw.
- Rafael Santos 1927 −9* for Conrad Wallem 2034 −140'
St. Louis City:Rafael Santos 1927 −9* for Conrad Wallem 2034 −1 - Fallou Fall 1924 045+1'
St. Louis City:Fallou Fall 1924 0 - 45+2'Édier Ocampo 2130 +3
Vancouver Whitecaps:Édier Ocampo 2130 +3 - 66'Bruno Caicedo 1740 +2 for Emmanuel Sabbi 2017 +2
Vancouver Whitecaps:Bruno Caicedo 1740 +2 for Emmanuel Sabbi 2017 +2 - Simon Becher 1954 −1 for Rafael Navarro Leal 2075 −270'
St. Louis City:Simon Becher 1954 −1 for Rafael Navarro Leal 2075 −2 - 77'Rayan Elloumi 1694 +1 for Brian White 2040 +1
Vancouver Whitecaps:Rayan Elloumi 1694 +1 for Brian White 2040 +1 - 77'Aleksa Cvetkovic 1644 +1 for Oliver Love Larraz 1984 +4
Vancouver Whitecaps:Aleksa Cvetkovic 1644 +1 for Oliver Love Larraz 1984 +4 - 81'Ralph Priso 2045 +4
Vancouver Whitecaps:Ralph Priso 2045 +4 - Alexandru Măţan 1978 −185'
St. Louis City:Alexandru Măţan 1978 −1 - Lukas MacNaughton 1830 −3 for Christopher Durkin 2051 −289'
St. Louis City:Lukas MacNaughton 1830 −3 for Christopher Durkin 2051 −2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 53% · 24% · 23%(St. Louis City · draw · Vancouver Whitecaps)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–0 had 6%.
- Average value of the starting XI: St. Louis City €2.5M, Vancouver Whitecaps €3.5M.
- Vancouver Whitecaps were without 1 expected starter: T. Blackmon (2033).
- St. Louis City's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
- St. Louis City were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
St. Louis City
2nd in MLS · 50 pts from 28
- 11 OctWLos Angeles Galaxy MLS2012
- 30 SepWNew York Red Bulls MLS1996
- 20 SepWToronto FC MLS1946
- 13 SepWMinnesota United FC MLS1942
- 10 SepDPortland Timbers MLS1936
Vancouver Whitecaps
1st in MLS · 51 pts from 28
- 11 OctDLos Angeles FC MLS2003
- 7 OctLChicago Fire MLS1956
- 27 SepDDC United MLS1954
- 20 SepWReal Salt Lake MLS1986
- 13 SepLAustin MLS1972
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | 50 /28 | 59.9 | <1% | 72% | 0% | 2nd |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 51 /28 | 59.1 | <1% | 67% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

St. Louis City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Elite) · Elo 2070

Vancouver Whitecaps · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 2083
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
St. Louis City: direct (how Yoann Damet plays) · Vancouver Whitecaps: balanced profile (how Jesper Ingemann Sørensen plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.