Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 33
St. Louis City vs San Diego
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · CITYPARK, Saint Louis
St. Louis City host San Diego on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: St. Louis City 50%, draw 27%, San Diego 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: St. Louis City €2.3M, San Diego €2.2M.
- Style contrast in possession (MLS): St. Louis City rank #27 of 30, San Diego #2.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. St. Louis City goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 1–26%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: St. Louis City 1961 · San Diego 1898
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
St. Louis City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2063
San Diego · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Good) · Elo 1974
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
St. Louis City
2nd in MLS · 51 pts from 30
- 17 OctLMinnesota United FC MLS1879
- 15 OctDVancouver Whitecaps MLS2037
- 11 OctWLos Angeles Galaxy MLS2012
- 30 SepWNew York Red Bulls MLS1996
- 20 SepWToronto FC MLS1946
San Diego
12th in MLS · 34 pts from 30
- 18 OctDLos Angeles Galaxy MLS1849
- 15 OctDHouston Dynamo MLS1900
- 10 OctLNew York Red Bulls MLS1904
- 27 SepDAustin MLS1893
- 14 SepLPhiladelphia Union MLS1890
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | 51 /30 | 57.2 | 0% | 36% | 0% | 4th |
| San Diego | 34 /30 | 39.4 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
St. Louis City: direct (how Yoann Damet plays) · San Diego: possession-based (how Michael Anthony Varas plays)