Major League Soccer · Round of 16
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC · CITYPARK
St. Louis City host Los Angeles FC on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Major League Soccer); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: St. Louis City 43%, draw 28%, Los Angeles FC 28%.
- Average value of the expected XI: St. Louis City €1.6M, Los Angeles FC €3.2M.
- Home advantage makes St. Louis City the favourite here: it adds 9 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. St. Louis City goals first.
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 2–27%
- 1–27%
- 2–07%
- Other scores49%
Team Elo: St. Louis City 1938 · Los Angeles FC 1957
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
St. Louis City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Good) · Elo 1994
Los Angeles FC · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.7 (Good) · Elo 2011
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
St. Louis City
3rd in MLS · 54 pts from 34
- 8 NovWHouston Dynamo MLS1888
- 31 OctLSan Diego MLS1957
- 29 OctLPortland Timbers MLS1966
- 25 OctLReal Salt Lake MLS1855
- 17 OctLMinnesota United FC MLS1872
Los Angeles FC
6th in MLS · 47 pts from 34
- 8 NovLSeattle Sounders MLS1979
- 2 NovLMinnesota United FC MLS2009
- 26 OctDLos Angeles Galaxy MLS2008
- 17 OctDNew York City FC MLS1996
- 15 OctWAustin MLS1993
Season outlook
From the Major League Soccer simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City | 54 /34 | 56.6 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 7th |
| Los Angeles FC | 47 /34 | 49.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
St. Louis City: direct (how Yoann Damet plays) · Los Angeles FC: dribble-heavy (how M. Dos Santos plays)