NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Premiership · Regular Season - 9

ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee Utd

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · McDiarmid Park, Perth

ST Johnstone crestST JohnstoneTeam 1616
1–1
Full time
HT 1–0
Dundee Utd crestDundee UtdTeam 1676

Match story

ST Johnstone · draw · Dundee Utd

Before kick-off: 38% · 30% · 32%

Live chances: ST Johnstone 2%, draw 95%, Dundee Utd 2% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 38%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%3' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 38%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%4' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 38%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%5' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 38%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%6' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 38%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%7' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 38%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%8' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 38%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%9' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 30%, Dundee Utd 32%10' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 31%, Dundee Utd 32%11' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 31%, Dundee Utd 32%12' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 31%, Dundee Utd 32%13' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 31%, Dundee Utd 32%15' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 31%, Dundee Utd 32%16' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 31%, Dundee Utd 32%17' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 32%, Dundee Utd 32%18' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 32%, Dundee Utd 32%19' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 37%, draw 32%, Dundee Utd 32%20' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 36%, draw 32%, Dundee Utd 32%21' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 36%, draw 32%, Dundee Utd 31%22' · 0–0 · ST Johnstone 36%, draw 32%, Dundee Utd 31%23' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 65%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 12%24' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 65%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 12%25' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 65%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 12%26' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 12%27' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 12%28' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 12%30' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 11%31' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 11%32' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 11%33' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 11%34' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 66%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 11%35' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 67%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 11%36' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 67%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 11%37' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 67%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 10%38' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 67%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 10%39' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 67%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 10%40' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 67%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 10%41' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 67%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 10%42' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 68%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 10%44' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 68%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 9%45' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 68%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 9%45+1' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 68%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 9%45+2' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 68%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 9%HT · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 69%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 9%46' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 69%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 9%47' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 69%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 9%48' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 69%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 8%49' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 69%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 8%50' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 70%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 8%51' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 70%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 8%52' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 70%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 8%53' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 70%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 7%54' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 71%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 7%55' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 71%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 7%56' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 71%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 7%57' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 72%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 7%58' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 72%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 6%59' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 72%, draw 22%, Dundee Utd 6%60' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 73%, draw 21%, Dundee Utd 6%61' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 73%, draw 21%, Dundee Utd 6%62' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 73%, draw 21%, Dundee Utd 6%63' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 74%, draw 21%, Dundee Utd 5%64' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 74%, draw 21%, Dundee Utd 5%65' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 74%, draw 21%, Dundee Utd 5%66' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 75%, draw 20%, Dundee Utd 5%67' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 75%, draw 20%, Dundee Utd 5%68' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 76%, draw 20%, Dundee Utd 4%69' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 76%, draw 20%, Dundee Utd 4%70' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 77%, draw 19%, Dundee Utd 4%71' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 77%, draw 19%, Dundee Utd 4%72' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 78%, draw 19%, Dundee Utd 4%73' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 78%, draw 19%, Dundee Utd 3%74' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 79%, draw 18%, Dundee Utd 3%75' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 79%, draw 18%, Dundee Utd 3%76' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 80%, draw 18%, Dundee Utd 3%77' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 80%, draw 17%, Dundee Utd 3%78' · 1–0 · ST Johnstone 81%, draw 17%, Dundee Utd 2%79' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 19%, draw 64%, Dundee Utd 17%80' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 18%, draw 65%, Dundee Utd 17%81' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 18%, draw 66%, Dundee Utd 16%82' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 17%, draw 68%, Dundee Utd 15%83' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 16%, draw 69%, Dundee Utd 15%84' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 15%, draw 71%, Dundee Utd 14%85' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 14%, draw 72%, Dundee Utd 13%86' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 14%, draw 74%, Dundee Utd 12%87' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 13%, draw 76%, Dundee Utd 12%88' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 12%, draw 78%, Dundee Utd 11%89' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 10%, draw 80%, Dundee Utd 10%90' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 9%, draw 82%, Dundee Utd 9%90+1' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 8%, draw 84%, Dundee Utd 8%90+2' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 7%, draw 87%, Dundee Utd 6%90+3' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 5%, draw 90%, Dundee Utd 5%90+4' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 4%, draw 92%, Dundee Utd 4%90+5' · 1–1 · ST Johnstone 2%, draw 95%, Dundee Utd 2%

Last reading, 90+5': 2% · 95% · 2%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave ST Johnstone 38% to win: it ended in a draw.

  1. 21'ST Johnstone:Josh Fowler 1530 0 assist Enes Alic 1813 −2
  2. 42'Dundee Utd:Dylan Tait 1651 +1
  3. 45'ST Johnstone:Ruari Paton 1661 0 for Josh Fowler 1530 0
  4. 45'Dundee Utd:abdoulaye yoro 1602 +2 for Daniel Bennie 1615 +1
  5. 63'Dundee Utd:Zachary Sapsford 1683 0 for Idjessi Metsoko 1572 +1
  6. 63'Dundee Utd:Lachlan Rose 1671 0 for Dylan Tait 1651 +1
  7. 66'Dundee Utd:Lyall Cameron 1661 +3
  8. 79'Dundee Utd:Lyall Cameron 1661 +3 assist Jesse Randall 1743 +3
  9. 82'ST Johnstone:Jamie Gullan 1584 −1 for Sam Stanton 1520 −4
  10. 82'ST Johnstone:Kai Fotheringham 1407 −8* for Taylor Steven 1509 0
  11. 84'ST Johnstone:Reece McAlear 1669 0
  12. 90'Dundee Utd:Zidane Iqbal 1799 +2
  13. 90+2'ST Johnstone:Jason Holt 1679 −6

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-3-3
GT. Steward1736−1
DL. Smith1629−2
DD. Finlayson16620
DC. Diabate1707−8*
DE. Alıç1813−2
MR. McAlear16690
MJ. Holt1679−6
MS. Stanton1520−4
MJ. Cotterill16540
MT. Steven15090
FJ. Fowler15300
CS. Valakari1767−1
GJ. Walton1732+3
DJ. Rawlins1776+1
DB. Esselink1722+1
DM. Forbes1708+3
DK. Ciubotaru1607+2
MD. Tait1651+1
ML. Cameron1661+3
MZidane Iqbal1799+2
FJ. Randall1743+3
FI. Metsoko1572+1
FD. Bennie1615+1
CJ. Goodwin1700+2
Before kick-off: 38% · 30% · 32%(ST Johnstone · draw · Dundee Utd)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%), and that was the result.

  • Average value of the starting XI: ST Johnstone €401K, Dundee Utd €533K.
  • Home advantage made ST Johnstone the favourite: it added 8 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

ST Johnstone

5th in Premiership · 11 pts from 8

  • 11 OctWAberdeen 1597
  • 19 SepDFalkirk 1664
  • 9 SepLCeltic 1645
  • 6 SepWHibernian 1569
  • 2 SepDDundee 1579

Dundee Utd

6th in Premiership · 11 pts from 8

  • 10 OctWHibernian 1668
  • 19 SepWST Mirren 1628
  • 5 SepDFalkirk 1613
  • 2 SepLMotherwell 1640
  • 29 AugWKilmarnock 1596

Season outlook

From the Premiership simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
ST Johnstone11 /841.10%15%18%7th
Dundee Utd11 /841.60%16%17%7th
ST Johnstone
Dundee Utd

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premiership

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

J. Holt
J. Holt

ST Johnstone · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1685

M. Forbes
M. Forbes

Dundee Utd · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1705

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Simo Johannes Valakari

Coach DNA: possession-based

James Michael Goodwin

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

ST Johnstone: low-volume (how Simo Johannes Valakari plays) · Dundee Utd: direct (how James Michael Goodwin plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.