2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–0 Eintracht Braunschweig
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth
SpVgg Greuther FürthTeam 1651
Eintracht BraunschweigTeam 1634Match story
SpVgg Greuther Fürth · draw · Eintracht BraunschweigBefore kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%
Last reading, 90+4': 100% · 0% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Felix Klaus 32', 63'
We gave SpVgg Greuther Fürth 44% to win: they did.
- Felix Klaus 1690 +33 assist Lukas Reich 1606 +5632'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Felix Klaus 1690 +33 assist Lukas Reich 1606 +56 - 45'Robin Heusser 1698 −6 for Samuele Di Benedetto 1653 −2
Eintracht Braunschweig:Robin Heusser 1698 −6 for Samuele Di Benedetto 1653 −2 - Felix Klaus 1690 +33 assist Sacha Banse 1661 +4663'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Felix Klaus 1690 +33 assist Sacha Banse 1661 +46 - 64'Noah Katterbach 1725 −11* for Fabio Di Michele Sanchez 1686 −6
Eintracht Braunschweig:Noah Katterbach 1725 −11* for Fabio Di Michele Sanchez 1686 −6 - 64'Jovan Mijatovic 1595 0 for Aaron Opoku 1665 −5
Eintracht Braunschweig:Jovan Mijatovic 1595 0 for Aaron Opoku 1665 −5 - Dennis Srbeny 1555 +2 for Shinta Karl Appelkamp 1797 +666'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Dennis Srbeny 1555 +2 for Shinta Karl Appelkamp 1797 +6 - Jordan Siebatcheu 1687 0 for Omar Sillah 1467 +2273'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Jordan Siebatcheu 1687 0 for Omar Sillah 1467 +22 - Krisztián Keresztes 1728 −3* for Gian-Luca Itter 1696 +3*74'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Krisztián Keresztes 1728 −3* for Gian-Luca Itter 1696 +3* - Felix Klaus 1690 +3374'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Felix Klaus 1690 +33 - 79'Arlet Junior Zé 1459 0 for Lukas Frenkert 1682 −7
Eintracht Braunschweig:Arlet Junior Zé 1459 0 for Lukas Frenkert 1682 −7 - Aaron Keller 1693 +1 for Ole Pohlmann 1750 +1188'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Aaron Keller 1693 +1 for Ole Pohlmann 1750 +11 - Faton Ademi 1667 +1 for Felix Klaus 1690 +3388'
SpVgg Greuther Fürth:Faton Ademi 1667 +1 for Felix Klaus 1690 +33
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 44% · 29% · 27%(SpVgg Greuther Fürth · draw · Eintracht Braunschweig)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 2–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: SpVgg Greuther Fürth €918K, Eintracht Braunschweig €779K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
15th in 2. Bundesliga · 6 pts from 7
- 11 OctLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1668
- 18 SepD1. FC Magdeburg Germany 2 Bundesliga1664
- 12 SepDVfL Bochum Germany 2 Bundesliga1680
- 6 SepL1. FC Heidenheim Germany 2 Bundesliga1702
- 29 AugWEnergie Cottbus Germany 2 Bundesliga1691
Eintracht Braunschweig
11th in 2. Bundesliga · 7 pts from 7
- 9 OctWHolstein Kiel Germany 2 Bundesliga1613
- 19 SepL1. FC Kaiserslautern Germany 2 Bundesliga1623
- 12 SepDDynamo Dresden Germany 2 Bundesliga1659
- 6 SepLVfL Osnabrück Germany 2 Bundesliga1674
- 28 AugLHertha BSC Germany 2 Bundesliga1708
Season outlook
From the 2. Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 /7 | 36.0 | 0% | <1% | 49% | 18th |
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 /7 | 35.5 | 0% | <1% | 53% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1657

Eintracht Braunschweig · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1709
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: balanced profile (how Heiko Vogel plays) · Eintracht Braunschweig: direct (how Lars Kornetka plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.