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Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 15

Sportivo Trinidense 1–0 Libertad Asuncion

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 22:20 UTC · Estadio Martin Torres, Asuncion

Sportivo Trinidense crestSportivo TrinidenseTeam 1445
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Libertad Asuncion crestLibertad AsuncionTeam 1596

Match story

Sportivo Trinidense · draw · Libertad Asuncion

Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%

Live chances: Sportivo Trinidense 97%, draw 3%, Libertad Asuncion 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 29%, Libertad Asuncion 39%2' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 29%, Libertad Asuncion 39%3' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 29%, Libertad Asuncion 39%4' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 29%, Libertad Asuncion 39%5' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 39%6' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 39%7' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 39%8' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 32%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 39%9' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 38%10' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 38%11' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 38%12' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 30%, Libertad Asuncion 38%13' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 31%, Libertad Asuncion 38%14' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 31%, Libertad Asuncion 38%15' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 31%, Libertad Asuncion 38%16' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 31%, Libertad Asuncion 38%17' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 31%, Libertad Asuncion 38%18' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 31%, Libertad Asuncion 38%19' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 31%, Libertad Asuncion 38%20' · 0–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 31%, draw 32%, Libertad Asuncion 37%21' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 59%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 16%22' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 59%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 16%23' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 59%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 16%24' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 60%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 16%25' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 60%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 15%26' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 60%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 15%27' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 60%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 15%28' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 60%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 15%29' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 60%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 15%30' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 60%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 15%31' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 61%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 14%32' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 61%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 14%33' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 61%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 14%34' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 61%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 14%35' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 61%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 14%36' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 62%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 14%37' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 62%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 13%38' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 62%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 13%39' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 62%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 13%41' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 63%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 13%42' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 63%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 12%43' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 63%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 12%44' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 63%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 12%45' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 63%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 12%45+1' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 64%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 12%45+2' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 64%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 11%HT · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 64%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 11%46' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 64%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 11%47' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 64%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 11%48' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 65%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 11%49' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 65%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 10%50' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 65%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 10%51' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 66%, draw 25%, Libertad Asuncion 10%52' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 66%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 10%53' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 66%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 9%54' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 67%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 9%55' · 1–1 · Sportivo Trinidense 27%, draw 43%, Libertad Asuncion 31%56' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 67%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 8%57' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 68%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 8%58' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 68%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 8%59' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 69%, draw 24%, Libertad Asuncion 8%60' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 69%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 7%61' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 70%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 7%62' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 70%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 7%63' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 70%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 7%64' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 71%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 6%65' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 71%, draw 23%, Libertad Asuncion 6%66' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 72%, draw 22%, Libertad Asuncion 6%67' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 72%, draw 22%, Libertad Asuncion 6%68' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 73%, draw 22%, Libertad Asuncion 5%69' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 73%, draw 22%, Libertad Asuncion 5%70' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 74%, draw 21%, Libertad Asuncion 5%71' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 74%, draw 21%, Libertad Asuncion 5%72' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 75%, draw 21%, Libertad Asuncion 4%73' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 76%, draw 20%, Libertad Asuncion 4%74' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 76%, draw 20%, Libertad Asuncion 4%75' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 77%, draw 20%, Libertad Asuncion 4%76' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 77%, draw 19%, Libertad Asuncion 3%77' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 78%, draw 19%, Libertad Asuncion 3%78' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 79%, draw 18%, Libertad Asuncion 3%79' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 80%, draw 18%, Libertad Asuncion 3%80' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 80%, draw 17%, Libertad Asuncion 2%81' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 81%, draw 17%, Libertad Asuncion 2%82' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 82%, draw 16%, Libertad Asuncion 2%83' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 83%, draw 15%, Libertad Asuncion 2%84' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 84%, draw 15%, Libertad Asuncion 2%85' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 85%, draw 14%, Libertad Asuncion 1%86' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 86%, draw 13%, Libertad Asuncion 1%87' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 87%, draw 12%, Libertad Asuncion 1%88' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 88%, draw 11%, Libertad Asuncion 1%89' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 89%, draw 10%, Libertad Asuncion 1%90+1' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 91%, draw 8%, Libertad Asuncion 0%90+2' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 93%, draw 7%, Libertad Asuncion 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 94%, draw 6%, Libertad Asuncion 0%90+5' · 1–0 · Sportivo Trinidense 97%, draw 3%, Libertad Asuncion 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 97% · 3% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Libertad Asuncion 39% to win: Sportivo Trinidense won.

  1. 21'Sportivo Trinidense:Clementino González 1502 +11 (pen.)
  2. 32'Libertad Asuncion:J. Estigarribia Meza for Nestor Gimenez 1691 −1
  3. 35'Sportivo Trinidense:Nicolás Maná 1565 +30
  4. 45'Libertad Asuncion:Hugo Fernandez 1612 −1 for Federico Carrizo 1698 −8
  5. 58'Libertad Asuncion:Lucas Sanabria 1615 −1
  6. 58'Libertad Asuncion:Gustavo Aguilar 1613 0
  7. 59'Sportivo Trinidense:Tomás Ezequiel Rayer 1608 +13 for Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas 1556 +33
  8. 62'Sportivo Trinidense:Clementino González 1502 +11
  9. 63'Sportivo Trinidense:Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo 1406 +9 for Nicolás Maná 1565 +30
  10. 65'Libertad Asuncion:Luciano Nequecaur 1504 −13* for Ivan Emanuel Ramirez Ferreira 1654 0
  11. 65'Libertad Asuncion:P. Villalba 1367 −8* for Agustín Manzur 1736 −1
  12. 74'Libertad Asuncion:Luciano Nequecaur 1504 −13*
  13. 79'Sportivo Trinidense:Néstor Camacho 1319 −8 for Clementino González 1502 +11
  14. 80'Sportivo Trinidense:David Villalba 1178 +8 for Alan Tobias Morinigo 1572 +15
  15. 80'Sportivo Trinidense:Luis De la Cruz 1424 +1 for Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo 1563 +16
  16. 81'Libertad Asuncion:Rodrigo Acuña Vera 1364 −8* for Gustavo Aguilar 1613 0
  17. 86'Libertad Asuncion:Hugo Fernandez 1612 −1

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-4-2
GV. Samudio1403+24
DC. Benítez1467+17
DA. da Silveira1603+44
DA. Cañete1619+13
DD. Melgarejo1408+99
MN. Gauto1563+16
MN. Maná1565+30
MG. Viera1599+11
ML. Abreu1556+33
MA. Morinigo1572+15
FC. González1502+11
CJ. Arrúa1647+21
GR. Morínigo1742−2
DA. Benítez1701−4
DG. Flores1873−16
DT. Fernández13810
DN. Giménez1691−1
MI. Ramirez16540
MF. Carrizo1698−8
ML. Sanabria1615−1
MA. Manzur1736−1
FG. Aguilar16130
FE. Vera16750
CNelson Valdez15670
Before kick-off: 32% · 29% · 39%(Sportivo Trinidense · draw · Libertad Asuncion)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sportivo Trinidense €226K, Libertad Asuncion €514K.
  • Division Profesional - Clausura: G. Flores was the highest-rated defender (1890).
  • Style contrast in possession (Division Profesional - Clausura): Sportivo Trinidense ranked #9 of 12, Libertad Asuncion #1.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sportivo Trinidense

5th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 24 pts from 14

  • 10 OctDClub Sp. San Lorenzo 1497
  • 5 OctWSportivo Luqueno 1499
  • 26 SepWCerro Porteno 1483
  • 18 SepLClub Guarani 1494
  • 12 SepWDeportivo Recoleta 1479

Libertad Asuncion

4th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 27 pts from 14

  • 11 OctDClub Guarani 1695
  • 5 OctWDeportivo Recoleta 1689
  • 28 SepLOlimpia 1691
  • 19 SepDSportivo Ameliano 1659
  • 11 SepW2 de Mayo 1629

Season outlook

From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sportivo Trinidense24 /1434.31%27%0%6th
Libertad Asuncion27 /1441.325%89%0%2nd
Sportivo Trinidense
Libertad Asuncion

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. da Silveira
A. da Silveira

Sportivo Trinidense · +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1559

F. Carrizo
F. Carrizo

Libertad Asuncion · +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1706

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

José Gabriel Arrúa Ovelar

Coach DNA: direct

Nelson Valdez

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sportivo Trinidense: direct (how José Gabriel Arrúa Ovelar plays) · Libertad Asuncion: possession-based (how Nelson Valdez plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.