Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 21
Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Sportivo Trinidense host Deportivo Recoleta on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sportivo Trinidense 57%, draw 25%, Deportivo Recoleta 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sportivo Trinidense €196K, Deportivo Recoleta €214K.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Division Profesional - Clausura): Sportivo Trinidense rank #14 of 14, Deportivo Recoleta #3.
- Sportivo Trinidense's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -2.0 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sportivo Trinidense goals first.
- 1–012%
- 1–112%
- 2–011%
- 2–110%
- 0–08%
- 3–06%
- Other scores41%
Team Elo: Sportivo Trinidense 1545 · Deportivo Recoleta 1390
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sportivo Trinidense · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1295
Deportivo Recoleta · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1497
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sportivo Trinidense
2nd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 34 pts from 19
- 8 NovWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1527
- 3 NovD2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1552
- 30 OctLRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1542
- 24 OctWNacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1528
- 18 OctWLibertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional1501
Deportivo Recoleta
11th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 16 pts from 19
- 8 NovDCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1325
- 5 NovLOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1419
- 31 OctWSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1365
- 24 OctD2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1327
- 16 OctWRubio NU Paraguay Division Profesional1353
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Trinidense | 34 /19 | 37.7 | <1% | 85% | 0% | 3rd |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 16 /19 | 19.3 | 0% | 0% | 86% | 11th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sportivo Trinidense: balanced profile (how J. Arrúa plays) · Deportivo Recoleta: balanced profile (how J. González plays)