Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 17
Sportivo Luqueno vs Nacional Asuncion
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC
Sportivo Luqueno host Nacional Asuncion on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Division Profesional - Clausura); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Sportivo Luqueno 33%, draw 29%, Nacional Asuncion 38%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Sportivo Luqueno €312K, Nacional Asuncion €395K.
- Division Profesional - Clausura: S. Rojas is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1816).
- Nacional Asuncion are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Sportivo Luqueno goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 0–09%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Sportivo Luqueno 1442 · Nacional Asuncion 1576
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Sportivo Luqueno · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1520
Nacional Asuncion · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1816
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Sportivo Luqueno
9th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 16 pts from 15
- 18 OctWClub Sp. San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional1410
- 10 OctLCerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional1449
- 5 OctLSportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional1410
- 25 SepLClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1477
- 20 SepWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1452
Nacional Asuncion
2nd in Division Profesional - Clausura · 29 pts from 15
- 17 OctWClub Guarani Paraguay Division Profesional1600
- 12 OctWDeportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional1572
- 6 OctDOlimpia Paraguay Division Profesional1534
- 25 SepDSportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional1567
- 18 SepW2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional1529
Season outlook
From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo Luqueno | 16 /15 | 23.8 | 0% | 0% | 30% | 9th |
| Nacional Asuncion | 29 /15 | 39.6 | 16% | 84% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Sportivo Luqueno: balanced profile (how Lucas Barrios plays) · Nacional Asuncion: balanced profile (how V. Bernay plays)