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Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 15

Sportivo Luqueno 3–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 22:20 UTC · Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luke

Sportivo Luqueno crestSportivo LuquenoTeam 1397
3–2
Full time
HT 1–2
Club Sp. San Lorenzo crestClub Sp. San LorenzoTeam 1302

Match story

Sportivo Luqueno · draw · Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%

Live chances: Sportivo Luqueno 98%, draw 2%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 52%, draw 26%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%3' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 51%, draw 26%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%4' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 51%, draw 26%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%5' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 51%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%6' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 51%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%7' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 51%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%8' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 34%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 39%9' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 34%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 40%10' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 33%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 40%11' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 33%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 40%12' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 33%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 40%13' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 32%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 40%14' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 32%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 41%15' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 32%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 41%16' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 32%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 41%17' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 31%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 41%18' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 31%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 42%19' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 31%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 42%20' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 30%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 42%22' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 30%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 43%23' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 29%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 43%25' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 29%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 43%26' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 29%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 44%28' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 28%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 44%29' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 28%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 44%30' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 27%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 45%32' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 27%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 45%33' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 26%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 45%34' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 26%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 46%35' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 25%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 46%37' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 25%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 47%38' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 47%39' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 47%41' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 23%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 48%42' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 23%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 48%42' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 44%, draw 34%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 23%43' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 43%, draw 34%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%44' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 43%, draw 34%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%45' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 43%, draw 35%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%45+1' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 43%, draw 35%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%45+2' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 42%, draw 35%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%45+3' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 42%, draw 36%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%45+4' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 42%, draw 36%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%45+5' · 1–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 42%, draw 36%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 22%45+6' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 20%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 51%45+7' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 20%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 51%HT · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 20%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 51%46' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 20%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 51%47' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 20%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 51%48' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 19%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 51%49' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 19%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 52%50' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 19%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 52%51' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 18%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 53%52' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 18%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 53%53' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 17%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 54%54' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 17%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 54%55' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 16%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 55%56' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 16%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 55%57' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 15%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 56%58' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 14%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 57%59' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 14%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 57%60' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 14%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 58%61' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 13%, draw 29%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 58%62' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 13%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 59%63' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 12%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 60%64' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 12%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 60%65' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 11%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 61%66' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 11%, draw 28%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 62%67' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 62%68' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 63%69' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 9%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 64%70' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 9%, draw 27%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 64%71' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 8%, draw 26%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 65%72' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 8%, draw 26%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 66%73' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 8%, draw 26%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 67%74' · 1–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 7%, draw 25%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 68%75' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 27%, draw 56%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 17%76' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 26%, draw 58%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%77' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 25%, draw 59%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%78' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 60%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 16%79' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 61%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%80' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 23%, draw 63%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 15%81' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 22%, draw 64%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 14%82' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 21%, draw 66%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 14%83' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 20%, draw 67%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 13%84' · 2–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 19%, draw 69%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 12%86' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 89%, draw 11%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1%87' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 89%, draw 10%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1%88' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 90%, draw 9%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1%90' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 92%, draw 8%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0%90+1' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 93%, draw 7%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0%90+3' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 95%, draw 5%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0%90+4' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 97%, draw 3%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0%90+5' · 3–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 98%, draw 2%, Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sportivo Luqueno 52% to win: they did.

  1. 7'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Marcelo Augusto Ferreira Bordón 1312 −5 assist Franco Aragón 1347 −4
  2. 34'Sportivo Luqueno:Walter González 1469 +23
  3. 42'Sportivo Luqueno:Walter González 1469 +23 assist Iván Maggi 1539 +28
  4. 42'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Marcelo Augusto Ferreira Bordón 1312 −5
  5. 45'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:K. Fernández for Elias Ortiz 1254 0
  6. 45'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Ángel Benítez 1467 −6 for Gastón Gerzel 1491 −4
  7. 45+6'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Franco Aragón 1347 −4 assist J. Barrios 1199 0
  8. 60'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Alexis Doldán 1491 −4 for Luis Cáceres 1363 −2
  9. 64'Sportivo Luqueno:Samuel Beltrán 1463 −4* for Walter González 1469 +23
  10. 65'Sportivo Luqueno:Alexis Cantero 1616 +2 for Axel Balbuena 1247 +18
  11. 68'Sportivo Luqueno:Kevin Pereira 1464 −4* for Jonathan Vidal Ramos Benitez 1292 +17
  12. 75'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Héctor Villamayor 1245 −2 for Hugo González 1268 0
  13. 75'Sportivo Luqueno:M. Barreto 1420 +44 assist Marcelo Ojeda 1422 +44
  14. 76'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Franco Aragón 1347 −4
  15. 78'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Teodoro Paredes 1337 −5
  16. 84'Sportivo Luqueno:Giovanni Bogado 1520 +31 (pen.)
  17. 85'Sportivo Luqueno:Giovanni Bogado 1520 +31
  18. 89'Sportivo Luqueno:Aldo Maiz 1608 0 for Marcelo Ojeda 1422 +44
  19. 89'Club Sp. San Lorenzo:Santiago Salcedo 1335 −26 for Franco Aragón 1347 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-3-3Formations4-4-2
GN. Campisi1583+8
DS. Ocampos1503+12
DM. Barreto1420+44
DF. Wiechniak1517+11
DA. Balbuena1247+18
MM. Ojeda1422+44
MG. Bogado1520+31
MF. Benitez1318+20
FW. González1469+23
FI. Maggi1539+28
FJ. Ramos1292+17
CLucas Barrios1411+31
GL. Franco11970
DT. Paredes1337−5
DLuis Fernando Cáceres Maciel1363−2
DM. Garcia1254−8*
DD. Meza Montiel12620
MP. Gerzel1491−4
MF. Aragón1347−4
MH. Gonzalez12680
MElias Ortiz12540
FM. Ferreira1312−5
FJ. Barrios11990
CS. Orteman1501−15
Before kick-off: 52% · 26% · 22%(Sportivo Luqueno · draw · Club Sp. San Lorenzo)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 3–2 had 3%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sportivo Luqueno €255K, Club Sp. San Lorenzo €115K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sportivo Luqueno

9th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 13 pts from 14

  • 10 OctLCerro Porteno 1449
  • 5 OctLSportivo Trinidense 1410
  • 25 SepLClub Guarani 1477
  • 20 SepWDeportivo Recoleta 1452
  • 13 SepLOlimpia 1438

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

12th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 4 pts from 14

  • 10 OctDSportivo Trinidense 1259
  • 3 OctDClub Guarani 1364
  • 28 SepDDeportivo Recoleta 1370
  • 20 SepLOlimpia 1384
  • 11 SepLSportivo Ameliano 1370

Season outlook

From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sportivo Luqueno13 /1422.60%0%40%9th
Club Sp. San Lorenzo4 /1411.20%0%100%12th
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Bogado
G. Bogado

Sportivo Luqueno · +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1489

F. Aragón
F. Aragón

Club Sp. San Lorenzo · +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1351

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Lucas Barrios

Coach DNA: –

Sergio Daniel Órteman Rodríguez

Coach DNA: balanced profile

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.