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Division Profesional - Clausura · Clausura - 14

Sportivo Luqueno 0–3 Cerro Porteno

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 22:20 UTC · Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luke

Sportivo Luqueno crestSportivo LuquenoTeam 1416
0–3
Full time
HT 0–2
Cerro Porteno crestCerro PortenoTeam 1680

Match story

Sportivo Luqueno · draw · Cerro Porteno

Before kick-off: 24% · 27% · 48%

Live chances: Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 27%, Cerro Porteno 48%3' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 48%4' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 48%5' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 48%6' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 48%7' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 47%8' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 47%9' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 47%10' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 47%11' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 47%12' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 47%13' · 0–0 · Sportivo Luqueno 24%, draw 29%, Cerro Porteno 46%14' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 11%, draw 19%, Cerro Porteno 70%15' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 19%, Cerro Porteno 70%16' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%17' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%18' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%19' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%20' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%21' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%22' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%23' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%24' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 70%25' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 71%26' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 10%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 71%27' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 9%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 71%28' · 0–1 · Sportivo Luqueno 9%, draw 20%, Cerro Porteno 71%29' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 2%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 92%30' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 2%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 92%31' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 2%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 92%32' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 2%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 92%33' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%34' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%35' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%36' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%37' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%38' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%39' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%40' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 6%, Cerro Porteno 93%41' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 93%42' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 93%43' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%44' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45+1' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45+2' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45+3' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45+4' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45+5' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45+6' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%45+7' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%HT · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%46' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%47' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%48' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%49' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 94%50' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 5%, Cerro Porteno 95%51' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 95%52' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 95%53' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 95%54' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 95%55' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 95%56' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 95%57' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 96%58' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 96%59' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 1%, draw 4%, Cerro Porteno 96%60' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 3%, Cerro Porteno 96%61' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 3%, Cerro Porteno 96%62' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 3%, Cerro Porteno 96%63' · 0–2 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 3%, Cerro Porteno 96%64' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%65' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%66' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%67' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%68' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%69' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%70' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%71' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%72' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%73' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%74' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%75' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%76' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%77' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%78' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%79' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%80' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%81' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%82' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%83' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%84' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%85' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%86' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%87' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%88' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%89' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%90' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%90+1' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%90+2' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%90+3' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%90+4' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%90+5' · 0–3 · Sportivo Luqueno 0%, draw 0%, Cerro Porteno 100%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Cerro Porteno 48% to win: they did.

  1. 12'Cerro Porteno:Pablo Vegetti 1729 +19
  2. 28'Cerro Porteno:Lucas Merolla 1816 +14*
  3. 32'Sportivo Luqueno:Lucas Ramón Barrios Cáceres
  4. 33'Cerro Porteno:Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel 1652 +49
  5. 36'Sportivo Luqueno:Dante Nicolas Campisi 1576 −12
  6. 45'Sportivo Luqueno:Axel Balbuena 1229 −8* for Alexis Cantero 1615 −8
  7. 63'Cerro Porteno:Mateo Klimowicz 1768 −4* for Ignacio Aliseda 1783 +20
  8. 63'Cerro Porteno:Guillermo Benitez 1724 +6 for Blás Riveros 1753 −1*
  9. 63'Cerro Porteno:Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel 1652 +49
  10. 64'Sportivo Luqueno:Marcelo Ojeda 1378 0 for Oscar Ruiz 1230 −7
  11. 64'Sportivo Luqueno:Lautaro Comas 1427 −4 for Aldo Maiz 1608 −11
  12. 64'Sportivo Luqueno:Marcelo Pérez 1508 −1 for Jonathan Vidal Ramos Benitez 1276 −8*
  13. 74'Cerro Porteno:Jonathan Gabriel Torres 1717 +1 for Pablo Vegetti 1729 +19
  14. 76'Cerro Porteno:Jorge Morel 1812 0 for Pablo Gamarra 1688 +29*
  15. 79'Cerro Porteno:Gastón Giménez 1645 −13* for Cesar Bobadilla 1597 +18
  16. 81'Cerro Porteno:Gastón Giménez 1645 −13*
  17. 85'Sportivo Luqueno:Iván Maggi 1512 −4
  18. 85'Sportivo Luqueno:Walter González 1446 −10* for Iván Maggi 1512 −4

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-1-4-1Formations4-1-4-1
GN. Campisi1576−12
DS. Ocampos1492−2
DM. Barreto1376−1
DF. Wiechniak1506−3
DA. Cantero1615−8
MF. Benitez1298−1
MG. Bogado1489−1
MA. Maíz1608−11
MÓ. Ruíz1230−7
MJ. Ramos1276−8*
FI. Maggi1512−4
CLucas Barrios13810
GA. Martínez1574+55*
DA. Cañete1547+60*
DL. Quintana1734+38
DL. Merolla1816+14*
DB. Riveros1753−1*
MF. Domínguez1833+7
MI. Aliseda1783+20
MA. Gamarra1688+29*
MC. Bobadilla1597+18
MD. Rodríguez1652+49
FP. Vegetti1729+19
CG. Costas1821+16
Before kick-off: 24% · 27% · 48%(Sportivo Luqueno · draw · Cerro Porteno)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–3 had 5%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Sportivo Luqueno €287K, Cerro Porteno €752K.
  • Style contrast in dribbling (Division Profesional - Clausura): Sportivo Luqueno ranked #10 of 12, Cerro Porteno #3.
  • Sportivo Luqueno's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.6 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Sportivo Luqueno

9th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 13 pts from 13

  • 5 OctLSportivo Trinidense 1410
  • 25 SepLClub Guarani 1477
  • 20 SepWDeportivo Recoleta 1452
  • 13 SepLOlimpia 1438
  • 6 SepLSportivo Ameliano 1442

Cerro Porteno

8th in Division Profesional - Clausura · 17 pts from 13

  • 5 OctL2 de Mayo 1727
  • 26 SepLSportivo Trinidense 1744
  • 19 SepWRubio NU 1738
  • 12 SepDClub Guarani 1706
  • 7 SepWNacional Asuncion 1721

Season outlook

From the Division Profesional - Clausura simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Sportivo Luqueno13 /1323.50%<1%38%9th
Cerro Porteno17 /1333.11%22%<1%6th
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Division Profesional - Clausura

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

G. Bogado
G. Bogado

Sportivo Luqueno · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1490

L. Quintana
L. Quintana

Cerro Porteno · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1696

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Lucas Barrios

Coach DNA: –

Gustavo Adolfo Costas Makeira

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Sportivo Luqueno: balanced profile (how Lucas Barrios plays) · Cerro Porteno: balanced profile (how Gustavo Adolfo Costas Makeira plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.